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Studies In History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies In History and Philosophy of Modern Physics
Volume 37, Issue 3, September 2006, Pages 439-466
The arrows of time, 2006
 
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doi:10.1016/j.shpsb.2006.04.001    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2006 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.

Causal time asymmetry

William Eckhardta, E-mail The Corresponding Author

aEckhardt Trading Company, 300 S. Wacker Dr., Suite 1080, Chicago, IL 60606, USA

Available online 9 June 2006.

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Abstract

Shunning passage of time explanations, the author seeks a reason for the earlier-to-later orientation of causality. The proposed formulation bases causal concepts directly upon those of coarse-grained entropy; in particular the time direction of causality aligns with the direction in which entropy increases. Further investigation shows that the number of possible causes for a given condition grossly exceeds the number of possible effects of the condition, consequently ruling out the possibility of necessary causes despite their frequent mention in the literature. The unruly diversity of possible causes means direct inference from present to past is nearly impossible. This leads to examination of how knowledge of the past is nevertheless possible and to a reinterpretation of the problem of induction. The author argues that at the ultimate level physical influence is bi-directional—coming from both past and future—but because of entropy increase, causality is detectable and exploitable in one direction only.

Keywords: Causality; Entropy; Induction; Retrodiction; Time asymmetry

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. Time's passage
3. The entropic analysis
3.1. Phase space and flow
3.2. States and conditions
3.3. Singular vs. general causality
3.4. Asymmetry trivialized
3.5. Entropy
4. The multiplicity of possible causes
5. Necessity vs. sufficiency
6. The futility of retrodiction
7. The entropy–causality principle
8. Influencing the past
9. Capturing the past
10. Induction
11. From isolation to openness
11.1. Opening the box
Acknowledgements
References






 
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