Original article
Risk of Stroke and Myocardial Infarction After Herpes Zoster in Older Adults in a US Community Population

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mayocp.2015.09.015Get rights and content

Abstract

Objective

To assess the risk of stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) after herpes zoster in a US community population of older adults.

Patients and Methods

We performed a community cohort study (January 1, 1986, to October 1, 2011) comparing the risk of stroke and MI in 4862 adult residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, 50 years and older with and without herpes zoster and 19,433 sex- and age-matched individuals with no history of herpes zoster. Odds ratios are presented for MI and stroke at 3, 6, 12, and 36 months after index herpes zoster plus hazard ratios for long-term risk (up to 28.6 years).

Results

Individuals with herpes zoster had more risk or confounding factors for MI and stroke, suggesting that they had worse health status overall. When controlling for the multiple risk factors, those with herpes zoster were at increased risk for stroke at 3 months after herpes zoster compared with those without a history of herpes zoster (odds ratio, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.10-2.33; P=.04). The association between herpes zoster and MI at 3 months was not robust across analytic methods. Herpes zoster was not associated with an increased risk of stroke or MI at any point beyond 3 months.

Conclusions

Herpes zoster was associated with only a short-term increased risk of stroke, which may be preventable with the prevention of herpes zoster.

Section snippets

Study Design

This is a retrospective study of a population-based cohort of older adults with herpes zoster comparing the rates of post–herpes zoster MI and stroke with a cohort of age- and sex-matched individuals from the same community who had no medical record history of herpes zoster. Patients were followed up for a mean of 7.1 years (range, 0-28.6 years). All adults 50 years and older with a confirmed herpes zoster episode from January 1, 1986, to October 1, 2011 (n = 4862) were included in the herpes

Results

The 4862 patients with herpes zoster and the 19,433 patients without herpes zoster had substantial rates of morbidity and multimorbidity diagnosed before the index date (Table 1). The rates of chronic conditions were higher among the patients with herpes zoster than among the patients without herpes zoster when stratifying by 1 to 3 or more chronic conditions: 1 condition, 24.7% vs 23.1%; 2 conditions, 21.3% vs 17.5%; and 3 or more conditions, 27.7% vs 21.7% for cases and controls, respectively

Discussion

In our geographically defined US population of older adults, herpes zoster was associated with an increased risk of stroke for 3 months after herpes zoster even when controlling for multiple risk and confounding factors. The association was robust across multiple analytic strategies. The association between MI and herpes zoster was less strong and not robust across different analytic methods, suggesting that this association requires additional evaluation in larger data sets. No increased risk

Conclusion

In adults 50 years and older, herpes zoster is associated with an increased risk of stroke and possibly MI in the first 90 days but not thereafter. Use of herpes zoster vaccine may prevent herpes zoster and, therefore, the associated acute increased risk.

Acknowledgments

We thank Marina Hoffman for editorial assistance and Cathy Allen for word processing and formatting.

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    Grant Support: This study was supported by an investigator-initiated grant from Merck & Company (B.P.Y.), grant R01 AG034676 from the National Institute on Aging (B.P.Y.), and grant AG032958 from the National Institutes of Health (M.A.N., D.G.).

    Role of the Funder/Sponsor: None of the funders or sponsors had any role in the design and conduct of the study, collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

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