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Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
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doi:10.1016/j.matcom.2008.03.015    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2008 IMACS Published by Elsevier Ltd.

A wildland fire model with data assimilation

Jan Mandela, b, Corresponding Author Contact Information, E-mail The Corresponding Author, Lynn S. Bennethuma, Jonathan D. Beezleya, Janice L. Coenb, Craig C. Douglasc, d, Minjeong Kima and Anthony Vodaceke

aCenter of Computational Mathematics and Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, United States bMesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States cDepartment of Computer Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, United States dDepartment of Computer Science, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States eCenter for Imaging Science, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY, United States

Received 9 October 2006; 
revised 15 January 2008; 
accepted 25 March 2008. 
Available online 8 April 2008.

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Abstract

A wildfire model is formulated based on balance equations for energy and fuel, where the fuel loss due to combustion corresponds to the fuel reaction rate. The resulting coupled partial differential equations have coefficients that can be approximated from prior measurements of wildfires. An ensemble Kalman filter technique with regularization is then used to assimilate temperatures measured at selected points into running wildfire simulations. The assimilation technique is able to modify the simulations to track the measurements correctly even if the simulations were started with an erroneous ignition location that is quite far away from the correct one.

Keywords: Ensemble Kalman filter; Parameter identification; Reaction-diffusion equations; Partial differential equations; Sensors

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. Formulation of the model
3. Relation to other models
3.1. Models based on diffusion–reaction PDEs
3.2. Fireline evolution, fire spread, and empirical models
3.3. Coupled fluid-fire models
4. Derivation of the model
4.1. Heat and fuel supply balance equations
4.2. Reaction rate
5. Identification of coefficients
5.1. Reaction rate coefficients
5.2. Cooling coefficient
5.3. Scales and nondimensional coefficients
6. Data assimilation
6.1. EnKF implementation
6.2. Regularization
7. Numerical results
7.1. Calibration of coefficients in one dimension
7.2. Numerical results in two dimensions
8. Conclusion
Acknowledgements
References













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Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
Article in Press, Corrected Proof - Note to users
 
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