Factors affecting postoperative mortality of patients with displaced femoral neck fracture
Introduction
Hip fractures, associated with high morbidity and mortality rates (as well as being a major cause of health care expenditure in the elderly), are expected to increase exponentially in frequency over the next 50 years. This is both a result of increased life expectancy and population growth.31 In Sweden, it has been estimated that after the age of 50 years, 19.5% of all women will sustain a hip fracture.15 In the United States, it is estimated that hip fractures account for almost 140,000 nursing home admissions annually.13
Several previous studies have investigated factors associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality following operation for a displaced femoral neck fracture. The mortality found in these patients, and especially the mortality in short follow-up studies, varies both across studies and from country to country. Mortality at 3 months has been found to vary between 5% and 24%, while at 1 year, mortality has been found to be between 24% and 29%.8, 10, 18, 27, 29 The most important causes of death seem to be related to cardiac and pulmonary factors.5, 6 However, causes of death vary across studies. This is probably due to the fact that the exact cause of death in the elderly population is often difficult to determine. Hemiarthroplasty is generally used for patients with impaired health. Amongst patients with a proximal femoral fracture, this group of patients has the highest mortality rate.10 Anaesthetic technique does not seem to have a major impact on postoperative survival.16 The importance of the interval between injury and surgery has been hotly debated, with conflicting results reported for mortality due to operative delay.1, 3, 9, 17, 18, 32
Though a number of studies have shown a high mortality amongst these patients, more specific pre- and postoperative factors which influence mortality and morbidity are as yet only weakly defined. Most previous studies have included patients with different hip related fracture types: subtrochanteric, intertrochanteric, intracapsular, etc.5, 9, 15, 18, 27, 32 We therefore decided to investigate a population with a more homogenous fracture pattern. Throughout the years, large numbers of patients have been treated for displaced, intracapsular, femoral neck fracture (Garden type 3–4) with hemiarthroplasty in our department. Postoperative outcome with respect to mortality is well-defined for these patients using the Danish nationwide civil registration system. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate which pre- and postoperative factors influence mortality and morbidity in this large series of Danish patients with Garden types 3–4 fractures.
Section snippets
Patients and methods
From 1985 to 1999, a consecutive series of 1700 hemiarthroplasties were performed in our hospital for an intracapsular, displaced fracture of the femoral neck. The indication for hemiarthroplasty was a displaced fracture combined with age over 75 years or with co-morbid severe, disabling illness. Of those included, 87% of patients were older than 75 years and 95% were older than 70 years. The operations were performed by a total of 156 different surgeons on call from the department's staff,
Statistics
For continuous parameters, un-paired t-tests were used to test for differences between groups and for discontinuous parameters, Chi square statistics were used to detect differences between groups. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to describe mortality distributions and the log-rank test was used for comparisons. Stepwise Cox proportional hazards modelling was used for multivariate assessment of the predictors for postoperative mortality.
A significance level of p = 0.05 was used and all calculations
Results
At the time of admission, the median age of the patients was 84 years (range 41–101 years). Patient characteristics are summarised in Table 1. The majority of the patients were female (82%).
Table 2 summarises operative variables: waiting time for surgery, duration of operation, bleeding, blood transfusion and the number of reoperations. Operation time of day (not shown in the tables) was also assessed. Of the 1186 hemiarthroplasties, 42.7% were performed during the day shift (8 a.m. to 4 p.m.),
Discussion
Excess mortality in patients presenting with hip fracture, compared to a background or control population has been well-documented in numerous previous studies.2, 4, 7, 8, 12, 14, 22, 25, 28 One study, however, found excess mortality only in hip fracture patients younger than 85 years.22 In the present study, we found median survival to be reduced by 59% for female fracture patients and by 69% for males compared with the background population rates. To highlight the risk associated with hip
Conclusions
This study of 1186 displaced, intracapsular, femoral neck fractures (Garden type 3–4) treated at the same department in Denmark from 1985 to 1999, concludes that:
- (1)
Median survival in male fracture patients was reduced from 5.2 years in age-matched controls to 1.6 years. For female subjects, life expectancy was reduced from 6.6 to 2.8 years.
- (2)
Most excess mortality occurred during the first 3 postoperative months.
- (3)
In order of significance, the five factors associated with increased mortality at 3
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