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International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
Volume 47, Issue 2, February 2008, Pages 202-218
 
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doi:10.1016/j.ijar.2007.04.004    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

An approach to hybrid probabilistic models

E. Di Tomasoa, b, Corresponding Author Contact Information, 1, E-mail The Corresponding Author, E-mail The Corresponding Author and J.F. Baldwina, E-mail The Corresponding Author

aDepartment of Engineering Mathematics, University of Bristol, Queen’s Building, University Walk, Bristol BS8 1TR, UK bIstituto di Metodologie per l’Analisi Ambientale, IMAA/CNR, 85050 Tito, PZ, Italy

Received 12 July 2006; 
revised 19 January 2007; 
accepted 30 April 2007. 
Available online 10 May 2007.

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Abstract

This paper is concerned with a development of a theory on probabilistic models, and in particular Bayesian networks, when handling continuous variables. While it is possible to deal with continuous variables without discretisation, the simplest approach is to discretise them. A fuzzy partition of continuous domains will be used, which requires an inference procedure able to deal with soft evidence. Soft evidence is a type of uncertain evidence, and it is also a result of the type of discretisation used. An algorithm for inference in multiply connected networks will be proposed and exploited for filtering and abduction in dynamic, time-invariant models, when continuous variables are present.

Keywords: Bayesian networks; Fuzzy partition; Soft evidence; Inference; Temporal models


 
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