Original Article
Heterogeneity of the prognostic significance of B-type natriuretic peptide levels on admission in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure syndromes

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2016.01.023Get rights and content

Highlights

  • We evaluated heterogeneity of the prognostic significance of BNP levels in AHFS.

  • Usefulness of BNP as a prognostic factor may be weakened in hyponatremic patients.

  • Prognostic significance of BNP seems weaker in patients with renal dysfunction.

  • High BNP levels may not be associated with higher mortality in hypertensive etiology.

  • Overall, high BNP levels were an important prognostic indicator in AHFS patients.

Abstract

Background

We hypothesized that variation in baseline characteristics of patients with acute heart failure syndromes (AHFS) affects the prognostic significance of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels because of heterogeneity of this patient population. We evaluated the association of elevated BNP levels on admission with an increased risk of adverse clinical outcomes in subgroups of patients hospitalized for AHFS.

Methods

This study included patients from the acute decompensated heart failure syndromes (ATTEND) study, a multicenter prospective cohort of 4501 AHFS patients with BNP data on admission.

Results

The geometric mean BNP level was 654.9 pg/mL (95% confidence interval: 636.1–674.2), and the optimal cut-off value for all-cause death was 1157 pg/mL. All-cause mortality after admission was significantly higher in patients with high BNP levels (> 1157 pg/mL) than in those with low BNP levels (≤ 1157 pg/mL) (median follow-up: 508 days, log-rank P < 0.001). Subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate the heterogeneity of the prognostic significance of BNP levels. The effect of high BNP levels on the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly greater in the subgroup of patients with a non-hypertensive etiology, low creatinine levels (< 1.3 mg/dL), and high sodium levels (≥ 135 mEq/L) than in those without these factors (P = 0.024, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001 for the interaction, respectively).

Conclusions

The present analysis shows that underlying etiology of heart failure (i.e., hypertensive), renal function, and sodium levels should be considered for assessing the clinical significance of elevated BNP levels on admission in relation to the risk of adverse outcome after hospitalization for AHFS.

Introduction

Acute heart failure syndromes (AHFS) are a common clinical syndrome that greatly affects health-related quality of life, and its incidence, morbidity, and mortality are increasing worldwide [1], [2], [3], [4]. Reported variables in AHFS that are predictive of death include hypotension, renal dysfunction, and marked elevation of biomarkers such as B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) [1], [2], [5], [6], [7]. BNP is a biologically active 32-amino acid peptide that is primarily produced by cardiac myocytes as a response to neuro-hormonal activation, myocardial stretch, and wall tension, and plays an important role in volume homeostasis and cardiovascular remodeling [8], [9]. Circulating plasma BNP levels are elevated in numerous cardiac pathologies in the presence of volume overload and increased cardiac fibrosis, and these levels correlate with the severity of symptoms and the prognosis [10], [11], [12], [13], [14], [15]. Therefore, the use of BNP is a well-established tool in the diagnosis, management, and risk stratification of patients with heart failure, and a report from a large registry showed that an elevated BNP level on admission is a significant predictor of in-hospital mortality in AHFS patients [5], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17]. Because of the heterogeneity of this patient population, however, we hypothesized that variation in baseline characteristics of patients with AHFS affects the prognostic significance of BNP levels. In addition, few AHFS registries have collected data on post-discharge, long-term outcomes [18]. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the heterogeneity of the association of an elevated BNP level with an increased risk of adverse outcomes in subgroups of patients who were hospitalized for AHFS. These patients were evaluated during hospitalization and post-discharge outpatient settings using data from a prospective AHFS cohort, the acute decompensated heart failure syndromes (ATTEND) study.

Section snippets

ATTEND study overview

The ATTEND study, a nationwide, multicenter, hospital-based prospective cohort study that is being conducted in Japan, has been previously described in detail [19]. The objectives of the ATTEND study are to clarify the overall clinical profile of AHFS patients, including demographic and clinical characteristics, current treatment, and in-hospital and post-discharge outcomes. The ATTEND study is an observational cohort study in which conventional information is collected within the aim of

Distribution and optimal cut-off value of BNP levels, and patients' baseline characteristics

The distribution of BNP levels on admission in the 4501 AHFS patients is shown in Fig. 1. The geometric mean BNP level in the study patients was 654.9 pg/mL (95% CI, 636.1–674.2 pg/mL). The optimal cut-off value for all-cause death after admission for AHFS (median follow-up period: 508 days) was 1157 pg/mL (the area under the ROC curve 0.595, P < 0.001). The baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of the study patients according to BNP levels are shown in the Table 1. There were no

Discussion

We found that high BNP levels on admission to hospital are an important long-term prognostic indicator in patients who were hospitalized for AHFS. In addition, the association of high BNP levels and a poor outcome was observed in a relatively wide spectrum of AHFS patients, regardless of numerous essential clinical features such as age, sex, body size, de novo or a history of heart failure hospitalization, diabetes, pulmonary disease, atrial fibrillation, anemia, left ventricular ejection

Conclusions

The present subgroup analysis demonstrated heterogeneity of the prognostic significance of elevated BNP levels on admission in patients who are hospitalized for AHFS. Better understanding of the associations among BNP levels, underlying etiology, renal function, and serum sodium levels in relation to the risk of adverse outcomes is required to identify individuals with a high risk of morbidity or mortality after hospitalization for AHFS.

Source of funding

This work was supported by the Japan Heart Foundation, which had no role in the conduct of this study, but provided funding for statistical support and administration. This funding organization did not participate in the design and conduct of the ATTEND study; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; or in the preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.

Conflict of interest disclosures

There were no conflicts of interest.

Acknowledgements

We thank all the investigators for their contributions to the ATTEND study. We also express our appreciation to Katsunori Shimada, PhD (STATZ Institute, Inc., Tokyo, Japan) for his expert statistical assistance.

References (34)

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    A BNP level of >100 pg/mL is considered as a criterion for the diagnosis of heart failure [5], and a level of >200 pg/mL indicates a high likelihood of heart failure that needs treatment [7–9]. However, there is marked heterogeneity in BNP levels among patients with heart failure [10]. BNP level tends to be lower in heart failure patients with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF) compared to heart failure patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF) [11,12].

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    Lastly, the end-point in our study population (44.2% and 36.9% in the PDC and RVC, respectively) was similar to that observed in all the aforementioned registries. Although the short and mid-term prognostic significance of admission BNP is established [42,43], its prognostic role regarding long-term outcomes remains relative limited [7,8]. Minami et al. [7] examined the long-term prognostic value of admission BNP in 4501 AHF patients and stated that BNP showed heterogeneity as a prognostic marker of adverse outcomes.

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