Original Contribution
Predicting need for additional CT scan in children with a non-diagnostic ultrasound for appendicitis in the emergency department

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2017.07.005Get rights and content

Abstract

Objective

This study aimed to determine which children with suspected appendicitis should be considered for a computerized tomography (CT) scan after a non-diagnostic ultrasound (US) in the Emergency Department (ED).

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed patients 0–18 year old, who presented to the ED with complaints of abdominal pain, during 2011–2015 and while in the hospital had both US and CT. We recorded demographic and clinical data and outcomes, and used univariate and multivariate methods for comparing patients who did and didn't have appendicitis on CT after non-diagnostic US. Multivariate analysis was performed using logistic regression to determine what variables were independently associated with appendicitis.

Results

A total of 328 patients were enrolled, 257 with non-diagnostic US (CT: 82 had appendicitis, 175 no-appendicitis). Younger children and those who reported vomiting or had right lower abdominal quadrant (RLQ) tenderness, peritoneal signs or White Blood Cell (WBC) count > 10,000 in mm3 were more likely to have appendicitis on CT. RLQ tenderness (Odds Ratio: 2.84, 95%CI: 1.07–7.53), peritoneal signs (Odds Ratio: 11.37, 95%CI: 5.08–25.47) and WBC count > 10,000 in mm3 (Odds Ratio: 21.88, 95%CI: 7.95–60.21) remained significant after multivariate analysis. Considering CT with 2 or 3 of these predictors would have resulted in sensitivity of 94%, specificity of 67%, positive predictive value of 57% and negative predictive value of 96% for appendicitis.

Conclusions

Ordering CT should be considered after non-diagnostic US for appendicitis only when children meet at least 2 predictors of RLQ tenderness, peritoneal signs and WBC > 10,000 in mm3.

Introduction

Acute appendicitis is the most common abdominal emergency in children [1], and early diagnosis is critical in preventing perforation, abscess formation and postoperative complications [2]. History and physical examination alone has a low sensitivity and specificity [3], so imaging may play a key role in the accurate and prompt diagnosis of suspected appendicitis. Computerized tomography (CT) has high sensitivity for diagnosis of appendicitis, and has been used more frequently in the pediatric population in recent years [4]. However, due to radiation exposure [5], providers in the emergency department (ED) are preferring ultrasound (US) as imaging modality [6], [7]. Point of care ultrasound for appendicitis performed in ED has high effectiveness in clinical decision making of ED physicians [8]. Although the specificity of US is high, the sensitivity is variable (50–100%) depending on the operator [9]. It is unclear which children should have advanced imaging after US is considered non-diagnostic when performed by the ED physician [10]. Performing selective CT only for children with non-diagnostic US [11], [12] may reduce CT utilization, but a significant proportion of these children may still have a negative test for appendicitis on CT [11]. The purpose of this study was to determine a method for identification of children who will benefit from a CT scan after a non-diagnostic US.

Section snippets

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study at an urban, tertiary-care hospital in Japan with about 40,000 ED visits per year. Our hospital ethics committees approved the research protocol. We obtained data from the electronic medical record (EMR) system and the hospital electronic administrative system for the period January 1, 2011 through December 31, 2015 in order to identify patients who presented to the ED with complaints of abdominal pain and while in the hospital had both an US exam and

Results

A total of 473 patients with complaints of abdominal pain had both US and CT during the study period. We excluded 129 patients who had [1] imaging studies due to trauma (34, 7.2%), [2] history of appendicitis (11, 2.3%), [3] US or CT documented before presenting to our ED (63, 13.3%), [4] CT performed before US (10, 2.1%), [5] US findings not found in the EMR (11, 2.3%) and [6] suspected other diagnoses than appendicitis based on physical examination, clinical history and US (16, 3.4%). Thus, a

Limitations

Our study has several limitations. This is a retrospective, single-center non-randomized study, where decisions on type of imaging modality were left to the clinician, and practice variation may play a role in our findings. However, we included results from over 50 physicians and findings represent practice in many other EDs. Also, it is possible that some children were discharged after an US and went to another facility where they were diagnosed with appendicitis. Patients who presented with

Discussion

We found that for children with suspected appendicitis and a non-diagnostic US exam by an emergency physician, CT is likely needed only when children have at least two of the following; RLQ tenderness, peritoneal signs or WBC > 10,000 in mm3. If we had applied this decision rule to our study group, we could have avoided about 65% of CT scans that were negative for appendicitis with a much lower false negative rate of 4% (Fig. 3).

Acute appendicitis is the most common cause of abdominal surgical

Author contribution

TN, SM, RG and HH conceived the study, designed the trial. SM, RG and HH supervised the conduct of the trial and data collection. TN, SM, RG, and HH undertook recruitment of patients and managed the data, including quality control. RG provided statistical advice on study design and analyzed the data; SM, RG and HH chaired the data oversight committee. TN drafted the manuscript, and all authors contributed substantially to its revision. TN takes responsibility for the paper as a whole.

Conflicts of interest

Nothing.

Acknowledgement

We would like to thank Mr. Boris Kuzeljevic for his dedicated work on the statistical portion of this work.

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