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Accident Analysis & Prevention
Volume 38, Issue 3, May 2006, Pages 574-578
 
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doi:10.1016/j.aap.2005.12.002    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2005 Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.

Older drivers do not have a high crash risk—A replication of low mileage bias

Jim Langforda, Corresponding Author Contact Information, E-mail The Corresponding Author, Rob Methorstb and Liisa Hakamies-Blomqvistc

aMonash University Accident Research Centre, Australia bMinistry of Transport and Public Works – Transport Research Centre AVV, The Netherlands cThe Swedish Road and Transport Research Institute, Sweden

Received 6 October 2005; 
revised 2 December 2005; 
accepted 2 December 2005. 
Available online 19 January 2006.

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Abstract

The widespread claim that older drivers are overly involved in crashes has apparent support from crash data, especially when distance travelled is used as the exposure measure. However, independent of age, drivers travelling more kilometres will typically have lower crash rates per kilometre than those driving fewer kilometres. This paper uses Dutch travel survey data from a large sample of respondents to confirm previous research findings concerning the association between annual mileages driven and crash involvement. When the crash rates of drivers of different ages were compared after being matched for yearly driving distance, most drivers aged 75 years and above were indicatively safer than all other drivers. Only older drivers travelling less than 3000 km per year (just over 10% of all older drivers in the survey) gave any indication of elevated crash rates.

Keywords: Older drivers; Low mileage bias; Crash risk

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. Method
3. Results
3.1. Overview of travel survey respondents
3.2. Annual distance driven and crash involvement—demonstrating the low mileage bias
3.3. Age and crash rate (for different annual mileages)
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
References



 
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