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Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Volume 43, Issue 3, 28 July 2003, Pages 357-368
 
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doi:10.1016/S0167-9473(02)00232-3    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Transformation approaches for the construction of Weibull prediction interval

Zhenlin YangCorresponding Author Contact Information, E-mail The Corresponding Author, E-mail The Corresponding Author, a, Stanley P. Seeb and M. Xiec

a Department of Economics, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117570, Singapore b Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, National University of Singapore, Singapore c Department of Industrial and System Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore

Received 31 July 2002. 
Available online 24 October 2002.

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Abstract

Two methods of transforming the Weibull data to near normality, namely the Box–Cox method and Kullback–Leibler (KL) information method, are discussed and contrasted. A simple prediction interval (PI) based on the better KL information method is proposed. The asymptotic property of this interval is established. Its small sample behavior is investigated using Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation results show that this simple interval is close to the existing complicated PI where the percentage points of the reference distribution have to be either simulated or approximated. The proposed interval can also be easily adjusted to have the correct asymptotic coverage.

Author Keywords: Box–Cox transformation; Coverage probability; Kullback–Leibler information; Prediction interval; Weibull distribution

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. Methods for transforming the Weibull data
2.1. The Box–Cox method
2.2. The method based on Kullback–Leibler information
2.3. A comparison of the two transformation estimates
3. The transformation-based prediction interval
3.1. The prediction interval and its large sample property
3.2. Small sample property of the interval
4. A numerical example
5. Discussion
Acknowledgements
Appendix A. Proof of Theorem 3.1.
References


 
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