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Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Volume 38, Issue 3, 28 January 2002, Pages 285-299
 
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doi:10.1016/S0167-9473(01)00044-5    How to Cite or Link Using DOI (Opens New Window)
Copyright © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

A statistical approach to growing a reliable honest tree

Carmela Cappellia, Francesco Molab and Roberta SicilianoCorresponding Author Contact Information, E-mail The Corresponding Author, a

a Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Naples University Federico II, Via Cinthia Monte S Angelo, 80126 Naples, Italy b Department of Economics, University of Cagliari, Italy

Received 1 December 2000;
revised 1 May 2001.
Available online 3 January 2002.

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Abstract

The introduction of a third stage in tree growing approach is suggested. The aim is to find a honest tree, that is, a tree which is not only understandable and accurate, but also statistically reliable. Testing procedures for both classification and regression trees are introduced. These procedures guide the search for those parts in tree structures which are statistically significant.

Author Keywords: CART; Tree based methods; Pruning; Simplification; Statistical reliability

Article Outline

1. Introduction
2. The CART approach
2.1. Basics and notations
2.2. The pruning procedure
2.3. A result related to the complexity measure
3. Statistical testing for growing reliable honest trees
3.1. The statistical test for classification trees
3.2. The statistical test for regression trees
3.3. The statistical testing procedure
3.3.1. The algorithm for statistical testing procedure (STP)
4. Examples on real data sets
4.1. The data sets
4.2. Classification trees
4.3. Regression trees
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
References




 
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