Abstract
Background
Urban racial arrest disparities are well known. Emerging evidence suggests that rural policing shares similar patterns as urban policing in the USA, but without receiving the same public scrutiny, raising the risk of biased rural policing going unnoticed.
Methods
We estimated adult and adolescent arrest rates and rate ratios (RR) by race, rural-urban status, and US region based on 2016 Uniform Crime Reporting Program arrest and US Census population counts using general estimating equation Poisson regression models with a 4-way interaction between race, region, age group, and urbanicity.
Results
With few exceptions, arrest rates were highest in small towns and rural areas, especially among Black and American Indian populations. Arrest rates differed between US regions with highest rates and racial disparities in the Midwest. For example, arrest rates among Black adults in the rural Midwest were 148.6 arrests [per 1000 population], 95% CI 131.4–168.0, versus 94.4 arrests, 95% CI 77.2–115.4 in the urban Midwest; and versus corresponding rural Midwest arrests among white adults, 32.7 arrests, 95% CI 30.8–34.8, Black versus white rural RR 4.54, 95% CI 4.09–5.04. Racial arrest disparities in the South were lower but still high, e.g., rural South, Black versus White adults, RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.71–2.03.
Conclusions
Rural areas and small towns are potential hotspots of racial arrest disparities across the USA, especially in the Midwest. Approaches to overcoming structural racism in policing must include strategies targeted at rural/small town communities. Our findings underscore the importance of dismantling racist policing in all US communities.
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Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Dr. Jacob Kaplan, PI on the Open ICPSR UCR project, for his helpful input on the UCR arrest data.
Funding
There was no external funding specifically for this study. Carrie Henning-Smith was supported by the NIH National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, grant UL1TR002494.
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Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Patricia I. Jewett: initial study idea; conception and design; download and analysis of data; interpretation and contextualization of the results; article draft and revision; final approval of the manuscript. Ronald E. Gangnon: statistical method supervision; analysis of data and validation; interpretation of the results; article review and revision; final approval of the manuscript. Anna K. Hing, Carrie Henning-Smith, Tongtan Chantarat, and Eunice M. Areba: conception and design; interpretation and contextualization of the results; article review and revision; final approval of the manuscript. Iris W. Borowsky: supervision; conception and design; interpretation and contextualization of the results; article review and revision; final approval of the manuscript.
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Appendices
Appendix A
Hypothetical example calculation of group-specific population weights based on the number of months with reported data in each agency
Region | State | County | Agency | Number of months reported | Inflation factor | Group: adult White | Group: adult Black | Group: juvenile White | Group: juvenile Black | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual arrest counts | Inflated arrest counts | Actual arrest counts | Inflated arrest counts | Actual arrest counts | Inflated arrest counts | Actual arrest counts | Inflated arrest counts | ||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | A | 12 | 1 (= 12/12) | 100 | 100 (= 100*1) | 60 | 60 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
B | 6 | 2 (= 12/6) | 50 | 100 (= 50*2) | 40 | 80 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 14 | |||
C | 7 | 1.714 (= 12/7) | 58 | 99.429 (= 58*1.714) | 50 | 85.714 | 11 | 18.857 | 22 | 37.714 | |||
D | 9 | 1.333 (= 12/9) | 75 | 100 (= 75*1.333) | 50 | 66.667 | 13 | 17.333 | 10 | 13.333 | |||
E | 1 | 12 (= 12/1) | 8 | 96 (= 8*12) | 5 | 60 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 72 | |||
Actual arrest sum in county | 291 | 205 | 56 | 65 | |||||||||
Inflated arrest sum in county | 495.429 | 352.381 | 100.190 | 157.048 | |||||||||
County population weight | 0.587 (= 291/495.429) | 0.582 | 0.559 | 0.414 |
Appendix B
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Jewett, P.I., Gangnon, R.E., Hing, A.K. et al. Racial Arrest Disparities in the USA by Rural-Urban Location and Region. J. Racial and Ethnic Health Disparities (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40615-023-01703-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40615-023-01703-5