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Potential impacts on climate change on paddy rice yield in mountainous highland terrains

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An Erratum to this article was published on 01 December 2014

Abstract

Crop models are suitable tools to assess the potential impacts of climate change on crop productivity. While the associated assessment reports have been focused on major rice production regions, there is little information on how climate change will impact the future rice crop production in mountainous highland regions. This study investigated effects of climate change on yield of paddy rice (Oryza sativa) in mountainous highland terrains of Korea using the CERES-Rice 4.0 crop model. The model was first calibrated and validated based on observed data and then applied to simulations for the future projections of rice yield in a typical mountainous terrain which borders North and South Korea, the Haean Basin in Kangwon Province, Republic of Korea. Rice yield in the highland terrain was projected to increase by 2050 and 2100 primarily due to elevated CO2 concentration. This effect of CO2 fertilization on yield (+10.9% in 2050 and +20.0% in 2100) was also responsible for increases in water-use efficiency and nitrogen-use efficiency. With management options, such as planting date shift and increasing nitrogen application, additional yield gains were predicted in response to the future climate in this area. We also found that improving genetic traits should be another option to get further yield increases. All in all, climate change in mountainous highland areas should positively influence on paddy rice productivity.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Division of Plant Biotechnology, Chonnam National University, 77 Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju, 500-757, South Korea

    Jonghan Ko, Han-Yong Kim & Seungtaek Jeong

  2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National University, 63 Busandaehak-ro, Geumjeong-gu, Busan, 609-735, South Korea

    Joong-Bae An

  3. Major of Geography Education, Jeju National University, 1 Ara 1-dong, Jeju, Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, 690-756, South Korea

    Gwangyoung Choi

  4. Department of Environmental Science, Kangwon National University, 192 Hyoja-dong, Chuncheon, 200-092, South Korea

    Sinkyu Kang

  5. Department of Plant Ecology, University of Bayreuth, 95440, Bayreuth, Germany

    John Tenhunen

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  1. Jonghan Ko
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  2. Han-Yong Kim
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  3. Seungtaek Jeong
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  4. Joong-Bae An
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  5. Gwangyoung Choi
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  6. Sinkyu Kang
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  7. John Tenhunen
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Correspondence to Jonghan Ko.

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Ko, J., Kim, HY., Jeong, S. et al. Potential impacts on climate change on paddy rice yield in mountainous highland terrains. J. Crop Sci. Biotechnol. 17, 117–126 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12892-013-0110-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12892-013-0110-x

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