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The multiple logistic regression recognition model for mine water inrush source based on cluster analysis

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Abstract

Mine water inrush is one of the major geological hazards that threaten safe production in coal mines. The accurate identification of mine water inrush sources plays a vital role in mine water disaster control, and it is the key to preventing mine water inrush incidents. Ninety-three water samples were extracted from the three types of aquifers in the Qinan coal mine. The cluster analysis method was then used to analyze 82 of the original water samples, and the other 11 water samples that did not meet the requirements were removed. Then, the remaining 82 water samples were regarded as training samples, and the principal component analysis was completed. Taking the scores of the principal components as the independent variable and the types of water inrush sources as the dependent variable, the multiple logistic regression recognition model was established. Meanwhile, this recognition model was used to recognize the types of mine water inrush sources and verify the recognition accuracy for the 82 training samples. The comprehensive recognition accuracy reached 86.6%, which is much higher than the traditional recognition methods of water inrush sources. Based on cluster analysis, the multiple logistic regression recognition model fully considers the ion content measurement errors and the complex relationships between the internal ions, and this recognition model is more reasonable and improves the accuracy of water inrush source recognition. This paper provides a new method for recognizing the problem of water inrush sources, which also provides an effective basis for mine water inrush prevention and control.

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Acknowledgements

The project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant nos. 41672273, 51474008), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (22120180313) and the Anhui Natural Science Foundation of China (1508085QE89). The research was also substantially supported by the Key Laboratory of Geotechnical and Underground Engineering of Ministry of Education (Tongji University).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Geotechnical Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, China

    Hao Zhang, Haofeng Xing & Liangliang Liu

  2. College of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, China

    Duoxi Yao

  3. Shanghai Municipal Engineering Design Institute (Group) Co., Ltd, Shanghai, 200092, China

    Daorui Xue

  4. Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, 100085, China

    Fei Guo

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  1. Hao Zhang
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  2. Haofeng Xing
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Correspondence to Haofeng Xing.

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Zhang, H., Xing, H., Yao, D. et al. The multiple logistic regression recognition model for mine water inrush source based on cluster analysis. Environ Earth Sci 78, 612 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-019-8624-2

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