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Impact of climate change on streamflow in the Xitiaoxi catchment, Taihu Basin

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Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences

Abstract

The impact of climate change on streamflow in the Xitiaoxi catchment is assessed by using VIC (variable infiltration capacity) model coupled with PRECIS (providing regional climate for impacts studies). Results show that the VIC model is adaptable for the study area. Both deterministic coefficient and Nash-Suttcliffe efficiency coefficient are greater than 0.75, with a good agreement between observed and simulated discharge. The runoff will increase in the future, especially during flood seasons. The magnitude of floods in the future (2021–2050) under A2 and B2 scenarios will be greater than that during the baseline period (1961–1990), but it may not exceed that during the 1990s.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University/Key Laboratory of Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, Beijing, 100875, China

    Liu Liu, Zongxue Xu & Junxiong Huang

  2. Beijing Hydraulic Research Institute, Beijing, 100048, China

    Junxiong Huang

Authors
  1. Liu Liu
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  2. Zongxue Xu
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  3. Junxiong Huang
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zongxue Xu.

Additional information

Foundation item: Supported by China/UK Scientific Cooperation Project from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2006DFA71390) and Open Research Foundation of China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research

Biography: LIU Liu (1986–), male, Ph.D. candidate, research direction: flood risk, response of hydrology and water resources to climate change.

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Liu, L., Xu, Z. & Huang, J. Impact of climate change on streamflow in the Xitiaoxi catchment, Taihu Basin. Wuhan Univ. J. Nat. Sci. 14, 525–531 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11859-009-0612-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11859-009-0612-z

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