Abstract
The Poyang Lake Region (PLR) is well known for its ecological and economic importance. This paper first analyzed the changes in land use/land cover (LULC), followed by changes in landscape patterns and ecosystem services by landscape metrics and equivalent coefficients table method. Then, the influence of LULC change on landscape pattern and ecosystem services in both historical period (from 1990 to 2015) and future period (2030) was explored. The results showed that the area of construction land was 607.9 km2 in 1990 and 972.5 km2 in 2015. The increased construction land mainly converted from cultivated land. For the entire PLR, a higher use degree of LULC and a trend of fragmentation existed in recent years. The total ecosystem service values (ESVs) decreased by ¥2.44 × 109 from 1990 to 2015, mainly because of shrinkage of cultivated land and sharp increase in construction land. It was predicted that the areas of construction land and waterbody would increase by 34.6% and 2.2% compared with those in 2015. These changes would lead to more regular in patch shape, longer in patch edge, less connectivity of patches, and an increase of ¥6.2 × 108 ESVs in 2030.
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Data availability
The datasets supporting the conclusions of this article were obtained from Resource and Environment Data Cloud Platform (RESDC) (http://www.resdc.cn/).
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Funding
This research was funded by National Key Research and Development Project grant number 2017YFC1502404; National Natural Science Foundation of China grant numbers 41890821, 51709008, and 51639005; and National Public Research Institutes for Basic R&D Operating Expenses Special Project grant number CKSF2019478.
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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Method implementation and optimization, analysis, and data evaluation were performed by Jijun Xu and Yongqiang Wang. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Zhe Yuan and Bo Yan and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final sub-mitted manuscript.
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Yuan, Z., Xu, J., Wang, Y. et al. Analyzing the influence of land use/land cover change on landscape pattern and ecosystem services in the Poyang Lake Region, China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 27193–27206 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-12320-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-12320-8