Abstract
Diverse impact of greenhouse gasses (GHGs) over the landscape of environment is generally believed in literature. As CO2 emission acutely leads to GHGs is a major contributor for global warming, it creates a serious pressure on natural resources and ecological settings. Similarly, low-carbon (CO2) economy, plenty of energy resources, and sustainable growth are a big ask for worldwide economies in this era of mechanization. This paper analyzes the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, for Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) economies, to contend the role of mega projects in BRI as an attribute for ecological detriments. The on-hand study engages fresh data information ranging from 1981 to 2016 holding with heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence as a special deliberation. The calculated outcomes expose that, mean group estimator provides strong evidence and favor the existence of EKC approximately in every region. The long-run influence is measured by pooled mean group estimators, which shows significant outcomes in every region; additionally, the EKC hypothesis affirmed in the long run especially for developed economies. Mega projects, i.e., BRI requisite immense energy sources to accomplishing the enclosed projects efficiently and effectively. The positive association between carbon emission and energy consumption troubled the governments to make policies for restraining the magnitude of carbon emission and controls energy usage for enduring environment to its original position. Next, the valuations depicted the dense recommendations for state administrations in capacity of rigorous level supremacy, trash managing campaigns, renewable energy reliance, and advance for desirable judgments to sterilize the atmosphere.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Apergis N, Ozturk I (2015) Testing environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in Asian countries. Ecol Indic 52:16–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.11.026
Armeanu DŞ, Vintilǎ G, Gherghina ŞC (2017) Does renewable energy drive sustainable economic growth? Multivariate panel data evidence for EU-28 countries. Energies 10. https://doi.org/10.3390/en10030381
Aslanidi N (2011) Environmental Kuznets curves for carbon emissions: a critical survey. In: Handbook of Environmental Policy, pp 205–224
Ayeche MB, Barhoumi M, Hammas MA (2016) Causal linkage between economic growth, financial development, trade openness and CO2 emissions in European countries. Am J Environ Eng 6(4):110–122. https://doi.org/10.5923/j.ajee.20160604.02
Beg N, Morlot JC, Davidson O, Afrane-Okesse Y, Tyani L, Denton F, Sokona Y, Thomas JP, La Rovere EL, Parikh JK, Parikh K, Rahman AA (2002) Linkages between climate change and sustainable development. Clim Pol 2:129–144. https://doi.org/10.3763/cpol.2002.0216
Chandran VGR, Tang CF (2013) The impacts of transport energy consumption, foreign direct investment and income on CO2 emissions in ASEAN-5 economies. Renew Sust Energ Rev 24:445–453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.03.054
Comstock M, Hackmann B (2018) Climate Change Report by Michael Comstock, UN Development, and Bernd Hackmann, UN Climate Change Secretariat
Culas RJ (2007) Deforestation and the environmental Kuznets curve: an institutional perspective. Ecol Econ 61:429–437. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.03.014
Dasgupta S, Laplante B, Mamingi N (2001) Pollution and capital markets in developing countries. J Environ Econ Manag 42:310–335. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.2000.1161
Dinda S, Coondoo D, Pal M (2000) Air quality and economic growth: an empirical study. Ecol Econ 34:409–423. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(00)00179-8
Du J, Zhang Y (2017) Does One Belt One Road initiative promote Chinese overseas direct investment? China Econ Rev 47:189–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2017.05.010
Eberhardt M, Bond S (2009) Cross-section dependence in nonstationary panel models: a novel estimator. Soc Res
Eberhardt M, Teal F, Eberhardt M (2010) Department of economics discussion paper series productivity analysis in global manufacturing production productivity analysis in. Working Paper 1–32
Frankel JA, Romer D (1999) Does trade cause growth? Am Econ Rev 89:379–399. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.3.379
Frees EW (1995) Assessing cross-sectional correlation in panel data. J Econ 69:393–414. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01658-M
Frees EW (2004) Longitudinal and panel data: analysis and applications in the social sciences. J Econ 69:393–414
Friedman M (1937) The use of ranks to avoid the assumption of normality implicit in the analysis of variance. J Am Stat Assoc 32:675–701. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1937.10503522
Grossman GM, Krueger AB (1991) Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series No 3914, 1–57. https://doi.org/10.3386/w3914
Hafeez M, Chunhui Y, Strohmaier D, Ahmed M, Jie L (2018) Does finance affect environmental degradation: evidence from One Belt and one Road Initiative region? Environ Sci Pollut Res 25:9579–9592. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-1317-7
Holtz-Eakin D, Selden TM (1995) Stoking the fires? CO2 emissions and economic growth. J Public Econ 57:85–101. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(94)01449-X
Hossain S (2012) An econometric analysis for CO2 emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, foreign trade and urbanization of Japan. Low Car Eco 03:92–105. https://doi.org/10.4236/lce.2012.323013
IEA (2017) World energy outlook. International Energy Agency, Paris, p 2017
IPCC (2014) IPCC fifth assessment synthesis report-climate change 2014 synthesis report. Synthesis Report pages: 167
Jahangir Alam M, Ara Begum I, Buysse J, Van Huylenbroeck G (2012) Energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth nexus in Bangladesh: cointegration and dynamic causality analysis. Energy Policy 45:217–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.02.022
Jayanthakumaran K, Liu Y (2012) Openness and the environmental Kuznets curve: evidence from China. Econ Model 29:566–576. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2011.12.011
Kaika D, Zervas E (2013) The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) theory. Part B: critical issues. Energy Policy 62:1403–1411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.130
Khan MTI, Yaseen MR, Ali Q (2017) Dynamic relationship between financial development, energy consumption, trade and greenhouse gas: comparison of upper middle income countries from Asia, Europe, Africa and America. J Clean Prod 161:567–580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.05.129
Kuznets S (1955) Economic growth and income inequality. Am Econ Rev 45:1–28. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443
Lau LS, Choong CK, Eng YK (2014) Investigation of the environmental Kuznets curve for carbon emissions in Malaysia: Do foreign direct investment and trade matter? Energy Policy 68:490–497. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.01.002
Lee JW, Brahmasrene T (2014) ICT, CO2 emissions and economic growth: evidence from a panel of ASEAN. Glob Econ Rev 43:93–109. https://doi.org/10.1080/1226508X.2014.917803
List JA, Gallet CA (1999) The environmental Kuznets curve: does one size fit all? Ecol Econ 31:409–423. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(99)00064-6
Liu L (2012) Environmental poverty, a decomposed environmental Kuznets curve, and alternatives: sustainability lessons from China. Ecol Econ 73:86–92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.10.025
Managi S, Jena PR (2008) Environmental productivity and Kuznets curve in India. Ecol Econ 65:432–440. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.07.011
Müller-Fürstenberger G, Wagner M (2007) Exploring the environmental Kuznets hypothesis: theoretical and econometric problems. Ecol Econ 62:648–660. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.08.005
Newey WK, West KD, West ’ KD (1987) Hypothesis testing with efficient method of moments estimation hypothesis testing with efficient method of moments estimation. Source: Int Eco Review 28:777–787
Orubu CO, Omotor DG (2011) Environmental quality and economic growth: searching for environmental Kuznets curves for air and water pollutants in Africa. Energy Policy 39:4178–4188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.025
Ozcan B (2013) The nexus between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Middle East countries: a panel data analysis. Energy Policy 62:1138–1147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.016
Ozturk I, Acaravci A (2010) The causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania: evidence from ARDL bound testing approach. Appl Energy 87:1938–1943. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.10.010
Panayotou T (1993) Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development. Technology Environment and Employment Geneva International Labour Office
Pedroni P (2004) Panel cointegration: asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis. Econometric Theory 20:597–625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
Persyn D, Westerlund J (2008) Error correction based cointegration tests for panel data. Stata J. 8(2):232–241.
Pesaran HM (2004) General diagnostic tests for cross-section dependence in panels. Faculty of Eco:1–39. https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.5113
Pesaran MH (2006) Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica 74:967–1012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00692.x
Pesaran MH (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. J Appl Econ 22:265–312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951
Pesaran MH (2015) Testing weak cross-sectional dependence in large panels. Econ. Rev. 34(6–10):1089–1117.
Pesaran MH, Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RP (1999) Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Am Stat Assoc 94:621–634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156
Pesaran MH, Smith R (1995) Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Econ 68:79–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01644-F
Robalino-López A, Mena-Nieto Á, García-Ramos J-E, Golpe AA (2015) Studying the relationship between economic growth, CO2 emissions, and the environmental Kuznets curve in Venezuela (1980–2025). Renew Sust Energ Rev 41:602–614. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.08.081
Roberts JT, Grimes PE (1997) Carbon intensity and economic development 1962–1991: a brief exploration of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Dev 25:191–198. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(96)00104-0
Sadorsky P (2010) The impact of financial development on energy consumption in emerging economies. Energy Policy 38:2528–2535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.12.048
Sarwar S, Chen W, Waheed R (2017) Electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: global perspective. Renew Sust Energ Rev 76:9–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.03.063
Selden TM, Song D (1994) Environmental quality and development: is there a Kuznets curve for air pollution emissions? J Environ Econ Manag 27:147–162. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.1994.1031
Shafik N (1994) Economic development and environmental quality: an econometric analysis. Oxf Econ Pap 46:757–773. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/46.Supplement_1.757
Shafik N, Bandyopadhyay S (1992) Economic growth and environmental quality: time series and cross-country evidence (Vol. 904). World Bank Publications, Washington, DC
Shahbaz M, Sarwar S, Chen W, Malik MN (2017) Dynamics of electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: global perspective. Energy Policy 108:256–270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.006
Stern DI (2005) Beyond the environmental Kuznets curve: diffusion of sulfur-emissions-abating technology. J Environ Dev 14:101–124. https://doi.org/10.1177/1070496504273512
Stern DI, Common MS (2001) Is there an environmental Kuznets curve for sulfur? J Environ Econ Manag 41:162–178. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.2000.1132
Stern D, Hansen I (2016) Beyond the environmental Kuznets curve: diffusion of sulfur-emissions-abating Technology. Energy Policy 41:2–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(97)00180-8
Tan F, Lean HH, Khan H (2014) Growth and environmental quality in Singapore: is there any trade-off? Ecol Indic 47:149–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.04.035
The World Bank Group (2017) World development indicators | DataBank [WWW document]. DataBank - world development indicators. URL http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators
United Nations (2015) UNFCCC: adoption of the Paris agreement, in: decision -/CP.21. Conference of the parties. November 2015:1–32
Westerlund, J. 2007. Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxf. Bull. Econ. Stat. 69:709–748.
Yu H (2017) Motivation behind China’s ‘one belt, one road’ initiatives and establishment of the Asian infrastructure investment bank. J Contemp China 26:353–368. https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2016.1245894
Zanin L, Marra G (2012) Assessing the functional relationship between CO2 emissions and economic development using an additive mixed model approach. Econ Model 29:1328–1337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.03.007
Zhang YJ (2011) The impact of financial development on carbon emissions: an empirical analysis in China. Energy Policy 39:2197–2203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.026
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the respectable Editor Mr. Nicholas Apergis and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions, to make possible the insights the core concerns of said research study.
Funding
This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71673043); and the National Social Sciences Fund of China (18VSJ035).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflicts of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Ethical statement
The manuscript has not been previously published, is not currently submitted for review to any other journal and will not be submitted elsewhere before a decision is made by this journal.
Additional information
Responsible editor: Nicholas Apergis
Appendix
Appendix
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Rauf, A., Liu, X., Amin, W. et al. Testing EKC hypothesis with energy and sustainable development challenges: a fresh evidence from belt and road initiative economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 25, 32066–32080 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-3052-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-3052-5
Keywords
- Sustainable development
- Climate change
- Environmental Kuznets Curve
- Environment policy
- Mega projects
- Belt and road initiative