Abstract
Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is among the complications of Multiple Myeloma (MM) and may occur in up to 10% of this patient population. However, medications used in MM therapy such as immunomodulators (IMID) may raise these rates. Thus, risk prediction models have been developed to quantify the risk of VTE in MM patients. The aim of this study is to compare the performance of three risk assessment models for VTE in newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients using immunomodulatory agents. A historical cohort study during a 10-year period in a Brazilian metropolis with NDMM treated with IMID. Data were collected from patient’s medical charts for the period of one year to calculate the scores using IMPEDE VTE, SAVED, and International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) guidelines. The area under the curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve analysis was calculated to assess the discriminative power of three risk assessment models. We included 131 patients (9 in the VTE group versus 122 in the non VTE group). According to IMPEDE, 19.1, 62.6, and 18.3% of patients were considered low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. SAVED classified 32.1% as high risk and 64.9% had ≥2 risk factors based on IMWG guidelines. The AUC of the IMPEDE VTE score was 0.80 (95% CI 0.66–0.95, p = 0.002), of the SAVED score was 0.69 (95% CI 0.49–0.89, p = 0.057), and of the IMWG risk score was 0.68 (95% CI 0.48–0.88, p = 0.075). IMPEDE VTE was the most accurate in predicting the development of VTE in Brazilian patients on IMID therapy. The SAVED score and the IMWG guidelines did not show discriminative ability in predicting VTE based on the population involved in this study.
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The authors would like to thank the Empresa Brasileira de Serviços Hospitalares (Ebserh) for all the support provided.
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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by IHFdC, CAMdP, and AMMR. The first draft of the manuscript was written by IHFdC and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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The present study was designed in accordance with the ethical standards of research involving human participants of the national research committee (CNS 466/2012) and was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (No. 3.305.726). Patients who agreed to participate in the research signed a free and informed consent form.
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da Costa, I.H.F., de Pádua, C.A.M., de Miranda Drummond, P.L. et al. Comparison of three risk assessment models for thromboembolism in multiple myeloma patients receiving immunomodulators: a Brazilian historical cohort. J Thromb Thrombolysis 56, 147–155 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11239-023-02817-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11239-023-02817-7