Abstract
This study investigates the effects of large-scale research funding from the Japanese government on the research outcomes of university researchers. To evaluate the effects, we use the difference-in-differences estimator and measure research outcomes in terms of number of papers and citation counts per paper. Our analysis shows that the funding program led to an increase in the number of papers in some fields and an increase in the citation counts in the other fields. A comparison of our estimation results with assessment data obtained from peer reviews showed important differences. Since the characteristics of research vary according to the field, bibliometrics analysis should be used along with the peer review method for a more accurate analysis of research impact.

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Details are given on the official site of the 21st COE Program (http://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-21coe/index.html) of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.
This condition is weaker than the random assignment condition in Eq. 2.
A drawback of the Scopus database is that it includes citation counts only since 1996. However, since we have used data only after 1997, this drawback did not affect our analysis.
Although, we do not use the papers and citations that are not included in the source documents in Scopus, the ratio of papers not contained in Scopus is equal between the treatment and control groups within a field; these are offset by the DID estimation, which does not influence the estimation results.
We used 1998 as the base year for the fields incorporated in the COE program of FY 2002, and 1999 for the fields incorporated in the COE program of FY 2003.
In future, we may perform a DID estimation using the number of Japanese books in these fields along with English only journal papers and citations, from another database.
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Ida, T., Fukuzawa, N. Effects of large-scale research funding programs: a Japanese case study. Scientometrics 94, 1253–1273 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-012-0841-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-012-0841-3