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On the intensity of downside risk aversion

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Abstract

The degree of downside risk aversion (or equivalently prudence) is so far usually measured by \(\frac{-U^{\prime \prime \prime }}{U^{\prime \prime }}\). We propose here another measure, \(\frac{U^{\prime \prime \prime }}{U^{\prime }}\), which has specific and interesting local and global properties. Some of these properties are to a wide extent similar to those of the classical measure of absolute risk aversion, which is not always the case for \(\frac{ -U^{\prime \prime \prime }}{U^{\prime \prime }}\). It also appears that the two measures are not mutually exclusive. Instead, they seem to be rather complementary as shown through an economic application dealing with a simple general equilibrium model of savings.

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Notes

  1. The other is related to the degree of absolute risk aversion. See their Eq. 7 and its discussion.

  2. Provided the two risks have the same mean and variance.

  3. Of course many other forms of compensations are possible. They lead basically to the same result after sometimes less transparent developments.

  4. The relationship between skewness and the third derivative of U has been discussed in many papers. A list of such papers can be found in Scott and Horvath (1980).

  5. Notice that a similar approach is used by Foncel and Treich (2005) to analyse the concept of fear of ruin developed by Aumann and Kurz (1977) and which is equal to \(\frac{U}{U^{\prime }}\). Besides, in a recent and innovative paper based on comparative statics properties, Jindapon and Neilson (2007) present the Ross’ equivalent of prudence through the division of U ″′ by U .

  6. See especially their Corollary 3.4.

  7. s ″′ > 0 is sufficient but not necessary to yield the result.

  8. Condition (9) is one of the two equilibrium conditions discussed in Barsky (1989). Barsky’s model is more general than the present one since it allows for the existence of a safe and a risky asset.

  9. By limiting ourselves to cubic utility we do not introduce effects of higher orders such as temperance or edginess that affect also the equilibrium value of r. As correctly pointed out by the referee, a similar conclusion can be reached by taking a second order approximation of the expected utility term in Eq. 7 and then taking its derivative with respect to c 1 evaluated at c 1 = y 1.

  10. For a random variable \(\widetilde{x}\): \(\mu _{3}=E(\widetilde{x}-\mu )^{3}\).

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Acknowledgements

The authors thank Christian Gollier, Patrick Roger, Harris Schlesinger, Fred Schroyen, Arthur Snow, the editor and an anonymous referee for very helpful comments and suggestions.

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Correspondence to David Crainich.

Appendix

Appendix

Consider first the lottery \(\widetilde{z}\) on the LHS of Eq. 1 i.e.

where \(E(\,\widetilde{\varepsilon }\,)=0\). Denoting by σ 2 and μ 3 respectively the variance and the skewnessFootnote 10 of \(\widetilde{\varepsilon }\), we find after easy manipulations:

$$ \begin{array}{rll} E(\,\widetilde{z}\,) &=&x-\frac{k}{2} \\ \text{var}(\,\widetilde{z}\,) &=&\frac{\sigma ^{2}}{2}+\frac{k^{2}}{4} \\ \text{skewness}(\,\widetilde{z}\,) &=&\frac{1}{2}\mu _{3}+\frac{3}{4}k\sigma ^{2} \end{array} $$

Consider now the lottery \(\widetilde{y}\) on the RHS of Eq. 1 i.e.

One easily obtains:

$$ \begin{array}{rll} E(\,\widetilde{y}\,) &=&x-\frac{k}{2} \\ \text{var}(\,\widetilde{y}\,) &=&\frac{\sigma ^{2}}{2}+\frac{k^{2}}{4} \\ \text{skewness}(\,\widetilde{y}\,) &=&\frac{1}{2}\mu _{3}-\frac{3}{4}\sigma ^{2}k \end{array} $$

Of course the lotteries \(\widetilde{z}\) and \(\widetilde{y}\) have the same mean and variance. Yet they do not have the same skewness and going from \( \widetilde{y}\) to \(\widetilde{z}\) increases skewness by \(\frac{3}{2}\sigma ^{2}k\). Such an increase in skewness is positively appreciated by individuals with U ″′ > 0 and we observe that in Eq. 5 the degree of D.R.A. (\(\frac{U^{\prime \prime \prime }(x)}{ U^{\prime }(x)}\)) is multiplied by a term that is proportional to the change in skewness to obtain m. Hence skewness is implicitly present in Eq. 5.

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Crainich, D., Eeckhoudt, L. On the intensity of downside risk aversion. J Risk Uncertainty 36, 267–276 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-008-9037-x

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