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Integrated methods to determine urban physical resilience characteristics and their interactions

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Abstract

Considering the recent and projected increases in the frequency and intensity of hazards, many cities around the world are increasingly taking efforts to build on their resilience. This study focuses on the physical resilience of cities as a relatively under-studied branch of urban resilience. Due to the considerable complexity of the resilience concept, there is still no clear and applicable definition for urban physical resilience. To make this concept more tangible, this study elaborates on the determinant characteristics of physical resilience and explores their interactions. To this end, the characteristics were extracted and conceptualized from the review of previous research, and also using the Delphi method. The Interpretive Structural Modeling and MICMAC analysis were also used to partition the characteristics, determine the driving and dependent elements, and clarify the complex concepts of physical resilience. Then, the DEMATEL method was employed to quantitatively analyze the interrelationships and interactions among the characteristics and determine the causal relationships. The results showed that ‘redundancy’ and ‘robustness’ are two key characteristics that contribute to the physical resilience of cities. Also, the characteristics were partitioned into different levels based on driving and dependence power, and the cause and effect categories of characteristics were determined based on the interactions. The results from this research can be used for resilience-based urban and spatial planning to bridge the gap between the theory of physical resilience of cities and its practical approaches. Moreover, urban planners should pay special attention to and focus on the driving elements (i.e., causes), to provide the context for the proper realization of the dependent elements (i.e., effects).

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Parizi, S.M., Taleai, M. & Sharifi, A. Integrated methods to determine urban physical resilience characteristics and their interactions. Nat Hazards 109, 725–754 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04855-x

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