Abstract
Indonesian fire events generate significant impacts on ecosystems, society, and climate regionally and globally. Following severe burning in 2015, Indonesia prioritized targeted fire prevention to reduce crop destruction, haze, forest degradation, and carbon emissions. We show that such efforts resulted in a qualified success. Fire activity during 2016–2019 averaged ~23% of expected levels across 627 target communities (11 Mha), waning to 70% during the severe 2019 fire season, which was delayed ~30–50 days despite relatively dry conditions. Small/medium-scale and agro-industrial landholdings targeted by fire prevention burned extensively and comparatively, yet they accounted for a relatively limited 12–22% and 18–26% of fire activity over 2013–2017 respectively upon considering fire ignition and dissemination patterns. Small/medium landholdings appeared as a net ‘fire propagator’, with up to half of associated fire activity affecting other lands. Conversely, agro-industrial lands appeared as net ‘fire receivers’, with up to half of their fire activity originating from adjacent degraded lands. Successful fire prevention represents a boon for Indonesian forest restoration and carbon-emission reduction schemes. However, more effective fire prevention must focus on degraded lands vulnerable to the agricultural incursion, from which ignition fires propagate comparably to small/medium landholdings and for which almost half of fire activity stemmed from ignitions thereon.










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Data will be made freely available to individuals for further scientific inquiry upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.
Code availability
The code used to produce fire-event data in this study is freely available as per citations in the text.
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Acknowledgements
We thank David Gaveau, Robert Field, and Grahame Appelgate for their comments on earlier versions of this paper.
Funding
This work was supported by funding from the Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research via grant FST/2016/144, ‘Improving Community Fire Management and Peatland Rehabilitation in Indonesia’, as well as from the Candian Tri-Agency Scientific Funding Body via a Canada Research Chair, ‘The Human Dimensions of Sustainability and Resilience’.
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Sloan, S., Tacconi, L. & Cattau, M.E. Fire prevention in managed landscapes: Recent success and challenges in Indonesia. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 26, 32 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-021-09965-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-021-09965-2