Abstract
Objective
This study seeks to better understand the relationship between neighborhood disability concentration and police calls for assault with a deadly weapon. Is this relationship the result of neighborhood concentrated disadvantage, or does disability act independently of other ecological characteristics associated with high crime rates?
Methods
The authors combine Census and other neighborhoodlevel data from Washington, DC to test a one-level random intercept hierarchical multiple regression model using Census tracts as a grouping variable. Disability concentration is measured by the percent of disabled residents living in a block group. Concentrated disadvantage is a composite measure including percent households below poverty line, percent families on public assistance, percent African American, percent female-headed households with children, and percent unemployed. Assault with a deadly weapon is a rate per 1,000 of police calls for assault in 2005–2006.
Results
The effect of disability concentration is partially mediated by other ecological factors, but remains a significant predictor of neighborhood rates of reported assault. Each one-unit increase in percent disabled increased police calls for assault by 0.14 %.
Conclusions
The results of the analyses suggest that although concentrated disadvantage does affect the relationship between disability concentration and crime, it exerts an independent effect on neighborhood rates of assault with a deadly weapon.
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Notes
Our first approach was first order spatial autoregressive modeling with first order autoregressive disturbances. Although this seemed like the ideal approach to address our research questions, this technique does not provide the best measure of how larger geographic units contribute to what goes on at the local level. Additionally, our final model controlled for all spatial error, leaving only a weak (1 %) spatial lag effect.
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Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank the three anonymous reviewers and the editorial staff for their helpful comments on earlier drafts of this manuscript. This project was partially funded by the Harold G. Grasmick Summer Research Fellowship.
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Bones, P.D.C., Hope, T.L. Broken Neighborhoods: A Hierarchical Spatial Analysis of Assault and Disability Concentration in Washington, DC. J Quant Criminol 31, 311–329 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-014-9246-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-014-9246-1