Abstract
Over the last 20 years there has been a surge of interest in paleolimnology and as a result a large accumulation of lake sedimentation records. This emerging archive has allowed us to develop empirical models to describe which variables explain significant variation in sedimentation rates over the past ∼150 years across large spatial scales. We hypothesized that latitude would be a significant explanatory variable of profundal zone lake sedimentation rates across a temperate to polar gradient. We further hypothesized that along a more longitudinally-constrained dataset (i.e. east coast of North America), latitude would explain a greater proportion of the variance. To test these hypotheses, we collated data from 125 natural, average-sized lakes (with surface area <500 km2) by recording authors’ estimates of sedimentation rates (measured as mm/year) or by digitizing recent sediment profiles and calculating sedimentation rates over the past ∼150 years. We found that, at both scales, latitude was the strongest predictor of lake sedimentation rates (full dataset: r 2 = 0.28, P = 0.001, n = 125; east coast dataset: r 2 = 0.58, P < 0.001, n = 43). By conducting a multiple linear regression analysis, we found that 70% of the variance in sedimentation rates from the east coast transect was explained by latitude and elevation alone. This latter model is of sufficient strength that it is a robust predictive tool. Given that climate and land-use strongly co-vary with latitude and that both of these factors have previously been shown to influence lake sedimentation rates, it appears that latitude is a surrogate measure for climate and land-use changes. We also show support for land-use as an important variable influencing sedimentation rates by demonstrating large increases in recent versus Holocene accumulation rates. These results indicate that it is possible to make generalizations about sedimentation rates across broad spatial scales with even limited geographic data.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Barton KE, Howell DG, Vigil JF (2003) The North America tapestry of time and terrain. U.S. Geological Survey, Geologic Investigations Series I-2781 (http://pubs.usgs.gov/imap/i2781/)
Blais JM, France RL, Kimpe LE, Cornett RJ (1998) Climatic changes in northwestern Ontario have had a greater effect on erosion and sediment accumulation than logging and fire: evidence from Pb-210 chronology in lake sediments. Biogeochemistry 43:235–252
Brugman RB (1978) Pollen indicators of land-use change in southern Connecticut. Quat Res 9:349–362
Crutzen PJ, Steffen W (2003) How long have we been in the Anthropocene Era? Climatic Change 61: 251–257
Dearing JA, Jones RT (2003) Coupling temporal and spatial dimensions of global sediment flux through lake and marine sediment records. Global and Planet Change 39:147–168
Downing JA, Prairie YT, Cole JJ, Duarte CM, Tranvik LJ, Striegl RG, McDowell WH, Kortelainen P, Caraco NF, Melack JM, Middelburg JJ (2006) The global abundance and size distribution of lakes, ponds, and impoundments. Limnol Oceanogr 51:2388–2397
Dray, S (2007) Packfor: forward selection with permutation, R package version 0.0–7. http://biomserv.univ-lyon1.fr/∼dray/software.php
Edwards KJ, Whittington G (2001) Lake sediments, erosion and landscape change during the Holocene in British and Ireland. Catena 42:143–173
Einsele G, Hinderer M (1997) Terrestrial sediment yield and the lifetimes of reservoirs, lakes, and larger basins. Geol Rundsch 86:288–310
Flanagan KM, McCauley E, Wrona F, Prowse T (2003) Climate change: the potential for latitudinal effects on algal biomass in aquatic ecosystems. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 60:635–639
Hakanson L (1981) On lake bottom dynamics––the energy-topography factor. Can J Earth Sci 18:899–909
Hanson PC, Carpenter SR, Cardille JA, Coe MT, Winslow LA (2007) Small lakes dominate a random sample of regional lake characteristics. Freshwater Biol 52:814–822
Hinderer M, Einsele G (2001) The world’s large lake basins as denudation-accumulation systems and implications for their lifetimes. J Paleolimnol 26:355–372
Kalff J (1991) The utility of latitude and other environmental factors as predictors of nutrients, biomass and production in lakes worldwide: problems and alternatives. Verh Internat Verein Limnol 24:1235–1239
Kalff J (2002) Limnology: inland water ecosystems. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, USA. 592 p
Lucotte M, Mucci A, Hillaire Marcel C, Pichet P, Grondin A (1995) Anthropogenic mercury enrichment in remote lakes of northern Quebec (Canada). Water Air and Soil Poll 80:467–476
Muir DCG, Omelchenko A, Grift NP, Savoie DA, Lockhart WL, Wilkinson P, Brunskill GJ (1996) Spatial trends and historical deposition of polychlorinated biphenyls in Canadian midlatitude and Arctic lake sediments. Environ Sci Technol 30:3609–3617
Peters RH (1986) The role of prediction in limnology. Limnol Oceanogr 31:1143–1156
Petterson G, Renberg I, Geladi P, Lindberg A, Lindgren F, (1993) Spatial uniformity of sediment accumulation in varved lake sediments in northern Sweden. J Paleolimnol 9:195–208
Quinn GP, Keough MJ (2002) Experimental design and data analysis for biologists. Cambridge University Press. 537 pp
Ramankutty N, Foley JA (1999) Estimating historical changes in global land cover: croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochem Cy 13:997–1027
Rose N, Morley D (2006) Sediment accumulation rate changes in European lakes: A first report. Report to the European Commission with the Sixth Framework Programme (2002–2006), project no. GOCE-CT-2003-505540. http://www.eurolimpacs.ucl.ac.uk/content/view/158/33/
Rowan DJ, Kalff J, Rasmussen JB (1992) Estimating the mud deposition boundary depth in lakes from wave theory. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 49:2490–2497
Saulnier-Talbot É (2007) Impacts de l’évolution climatique postglaciaire sur les écosystèmes lacustres de l’extrême Nord de l’Ungava, Québec. Ph.D. thesis. Université Laval, Québec, Canada
Scheffer M (1998) Ecology of Shallow Lakes. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. 357 pp
Shotbolt LA, Thomas AD, Hutchinson SM (2005) The use of reservoir sediments as environmental archives of catchment inputs and atmospheric pollution. Prog Phys Geogr 29:337–361
Smol JP (2008) Pollution of lakes and rivers: a paleoenvironmental perspective, 2nd edn. Blackwell Publishing, Oxford, United Kingdom
Smol JP, Wolfe AP, Birks HJB, Douglas MSV, Jones VJ, Korhola A, Pienitz R, Rühland K, Sorvari S, Antoniades D, Brooks SJ, Fallu M-A, Hughes M, Keatley B, Laing TE, Michelutti N, Nazarova L, Nyman M, Paterson AM, Perren B, Quinlan R, Rautio M, Saulnier-Talbot É, Siitonen S, Solovieva N, Weckström J (2005) Climate-driven regime shifts in the biological communities of arctic lakes. P Natl Acad Sci USA 102:4397–4402
Webb RS, Webb T (1988) Rates of sediment accumulation in pollen cores from small lakes and mires of eastern North America. Quat Res 30:284–297
Wetzel RG (2001) Limnology: Lake and River ecosystems. Academic Press, San Diego, CA, 1006 p
Acknowledgements
Funding for this project was provided by le Fonds québécois de recherche sur la nature et les technologies (FQRNT) and McGill University. We would like to thank all the original authors whose data we have synthesized here, especially those who responded to our emails and dug through their files for data that we could not find in their papers. We would also like to acknowledge the assistance provided by Erika Brown in synthesizing the climate data and developing our map. Comments provided by three anonymous reviewers, Jacob Kalff, Émilie Saulnier-Talbot and Daniel Selbie also improved this paper. This manuscript represents a contribution by members of le Groupe de Recherche Interuniversitaire en Limnologie (GRIL).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Brothers, S., Vermaire, J.C. & Gregory-Eaves, I. Empirical models for describing recent sedimentation rates in lakes distributed across broad spatial scales. J Paleolimnol 40, 1003–1019 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10933-008-9212-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10933-008-9212-8