Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has altered the landscape of pediatric vaccines. Social distancing and stay-at home orders presented new barriers to vaccine administration. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported a significant decline in pediatric vaccines one week following the national declaration of emergency due to the pandemic [1]. The Michigan Care Improvement Registry reported that up-to-date vaccines declined to < 50% among children less than or equal to 2 years of age [2]. At the same time, pharmaceutical companies partnered with CDC to develop safe COVID-19 vaccines. It is unclear how parental perspectives towards routine childhood vaccines and COVID-19 vaccines have been affected by the pandemic; these perspectives may affect future widespread implementation of COVID-19 vaccines among children.

Vaccine hesitancy has been defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) as “refusal of vaccines despite availability of vaccine services” [3]. More recently, it has been defined by Kempe et al. as “a motivational state of being conflicted about or opposed to getting vaccinated” [4]. Global data shows that vaccine hesitancy is prominent in more than 90% of countries worldwide [5]. Vaccine hesitancy can apply to all routine childhood vaccines or specific vaccines, with highest hesitancy directed towards influenza and HPV vaccines (26.1 and 25.6% of parents respectively) [6]. The recent development of COVID-19 vaccines has further pushed vaccine hesitancy to the forefront of discussion.

Childhood vaccine hesitancy has been extensively studied; however, currently, there are no existing studies on the impact of the pandemic on routine childhood vaccine hesitancy. Studies published during the pandemic have reflected data collected in years prior. In July 2020, Kempe et al. showed the rate of parental vaccine hesitancy to be 6.7% for routine childhood vaccines and over 25% for influenza vaccines [4]. In December 2020, Santibanez et al. reported that 20% of parents are hesitant about routine childhood vaccines [7]. Both studies were done in US parents. Notably, they used data from 2018 to 2019, before the pandemic. The majority of vaccine hesitancy literature during the pandemic has been devoted to hesitancy in adults about COVID-19 vaccination for adults. In our review, we found only two publications studying parental COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy for their children: Yigit et al. reported that 56.8% would vaccinate their child with a domestic COVID-19 vaccine [8] and Rhodes et al. noted parental unwillingness to vaccinate their child with the COVID-19 vaccine [9]. We found only one study on the influence of the pandemic on influenza vaccine hesitancy: Goldman et al. showed that higher level of caregiver concern about having COVID-19 was associated with increased intent to vaccinate against influenza [10].

During the pandemic, substantial misinformation about vaccines has been spread, and there have been concerns that vaccine hesitancy has increased. Simultaneously, there has been significant emphasis on importance of vaccines by community health experts. The interplay of these factors is important to understand for the implementation of pediatric COVID-19 vaccines.

The primary objective of our study was to determine whether the pandemic impacted parental perspectives on routine childhood vaccines in our patient population. Secondary objectives included assessing intent to vaccinate, COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, and key contributing demographic factors to vaccine hesitancy during the pandemic.

Methods

Study Population

We conducted a cross-sectional survey at Children’s Hospital Los Angeles (CHLA) and Altamed Pediatric Clinic between September 2020 and February 2021. Parents of patients from General Pediatrics, subspecialty clinics, and inpatient general medical/surgical units were recruited by convenience sampling to complete a mobile phone-based survey about their attitudes towards routine childhood vaccines, influenza vaccines, and COVID-19 vaccines. A parent of any child age 18 years or younger was eligible. Parents of intensive care units and emergency departments were excluded, as the acuity of illness of these patients was expected to interfere with parental participation in the survey. Parents of oncology patients were excluded, as their eligibility for COVID-19 vaccines was unknown at the time of the study. Parents were recruited in clinic waiting rooms and inpatient hospital rooms under the CHLA and Altamed Institutional Review Board -approved “exempt” protocol. Parents were provided with a QR Code to be scanned into their mobile phone with a link to the online survey. Informed consent was established by participation in the survey.

Survey Design

Focus Groups

Parents of children up to 18 years of age were recruited through existing University of Southern California (USC) community outreach groups for three focus groups, held from July 2020 to August 2020, to discuss reasons for routine childhood vaccine hesitancy and safety concerns about COVID-19 vaccines. Groups of 5–10 participants were led by a study team physician in English and Spanish in unrecorded Zoom sessions. Sample survey questions were reviewed by participants, poorly worded questions were discarded, and survey questions were rewritten based on the discussions. Participants were awarded a $20 gift card upon completion of session.

Survey

We used questions based on a modified Vaccine Hesitancy Scale (VHS), developed by WHO’s Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE), to assess parents how they felt about routine childhood vaccines and influenza vaccines before and during the pandemic. In addition, we surveyed perspectives on the COVID-19 vaccine. VHS is a 10-item scale where parents answer questions on vaccines with a Likert Scale of “Strongly Agree” to “Strongly Disagree” [11]. VHS item scores are summed to a total VHS score. Items are averaged in two categories, Lack of Confidence and Risk (Table 3), allowing assessment of these two constructs underlying vaccine hesitancy. VHS was developed after extensive global pilot data and literature review. Initially validated with Canadian and French parents of 9–16 year-old children, VHS has since been used in the United States, with a modified version to assess influenza vaccine hesitancy for patients 6 months to 18 years [12]. We used the 9-item scale for childhood immunizations, as prior literature showed that one of the original 10 items was unreliable [13]. We added Item 2 to assess the importance of influenza vaccines. The original VHS used a 5-point Likert scale. We excluded the “Neutral” option, as prior studies have shown this to be effective in decreasing social desirability bias [4]. Numeric values were assigned 5 = “Strongly Disagree,” 4 = “Somewhat Disagree,” 2 = “Somewhat Agree,” and 1 = “Strongly Agree.” Higher item scores indicated higher hesitancy, and items were reverse-coded when applicable. Higher scores in Lack of Confidence and Risk indicated decreased confidence and increased risk perception, respectively.

A separate set of questions based on VHS was generated about COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Items assessing efficacy and benefit of COVID-19 vaccines were omitted because COVID-19 vaccines were not yet available at the time of survey administration. Item 2 was also omitted, as it pertained to influenza vaccines. Both childhood vaccine and COVID-19 vaccine Lack of Confidence and Risk were related to demographic variables: location, gender, age, political identification, highest level of education, household income, and race/ethnicity.

We assessed whether experiencing the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a change in intent to vaccinate with routine childhood vaccines and influenza vaccines. We asked parents to recall how many vaccines their child received before the pandemic and state how many routine vaccines they planned to receive during the pandemic (“None,” “Most,” “Almost All,” or “All”). We asked parents to recall if their child had received an influenza vaccine before the pandemic. We asked if they planned to or had already received vaccination against influenza for 2020–2021 season during the pandemic (“Yes” and “No”).

Survey questions underwent review by a panel of physicians from CHLA Infectious Diseases and General Pediatrics, and USC Preventive Medicine. They were translated from English to Spanish and programmed into Qualtrics. All completed survey data were anonymous without linkage to individual participant identifiers.

Statistical Analyses

Childhood Vaccine Hesitancy Before and During the Pandemic

Paired t-tests were used to compare VHS total scores, Lack of Confidence and Risk scores before and during the pandemic. Mean (SD) values, paired mean differences and 95% confidence intervals were calculated. For specific item responses, comparisons before and during the COVID-19 pandemic used Wilcoxon signed rank tests, as the data were not normally distributed. Specific item responses were summarized as median, 25th, 75th percentiles, and “% 4 or 5,” the percentage of responses that indicated greater vaccine hesitancy (4 = “Somewhat Disagree” and 5 = “Strongly Disagree”).

Associations with Vaccine Hesitancy

General linear models were used to relate demographic factors to Lack of Confidence and Risk for (1) childhood vaccine hesitancy (2) COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Model residuals were evaluated for normality and homoscedasticity. A p-value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Prior History of Vaccination vs. Future Intent to Vaccinate

Tests for matched proportions were used to analyze whether there was a difference in distribution of answers (“None,” “Most,” “Almost All,” “All”) for number of vaccines a child received before the pandemic and number planned during the pandemic. Tests for matched proportions were run to analyze if there was a difference in proportion of those who answered “Yes” for having vaccinated for influenza before the pandemic and those who planned to vaccinate during the pandemic.

Results

A total of 252 surveys was obtained; 175 participants completed 90% or more of the survey. For incomplete surveys, most unanswered questions came from the end of the survey. All incomplete surveys were included in final data analysis. However, when the participant did not answer questions for both before and during the pandemic, the individual question was excluded. Most respondents were from outpatient clinic (80.6%), female (83.3%), between 30 and 44 years old (55.2%), Democratic (40.1%), graduated high school (48.8%), had annual income < 49 K (52.4%), and were of Hispanic ethnicity (61.9%) (Table 1), reflective of the surrounding community.

Table 1 Summary of parent demographics (N = 252)

Childhood Vaccine Hesitancy

Table 2 displays VHS item numbers and corresponding questions, and Table 3 summarizes individual VHS items scores and Lack of Confidence and Risk scores before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Relative to before the pandemic, total VHS scores during the pandemic were higher. Magnitude of change was summarized by the difference in means (“During” minus “Before”). For total VHS, the mean difference was 0.075 (95% confidence interval (0.021, 0.128), p = 0.006). For Lack of Confidence, the mean difference was 0.048 (95% confidence interval (− 0.018, 0.115), p = 0.15). For Risk, the mean difference was 0.173 (95% confidence interval (0.051, 0.295), p = 0.006). For Items 6–10, “% 4 or 5” increased during the pandemic, indicating greater vaccine hesitancy. The magnitude of change was 2.72% for statements on “Vaccines are beneficial,” (Item 6, p = 0.048), 1.68% for “I do what my healthcare provider recommends about vaccines” (Item 8, p = 0.035), 5.08% for “New vaccines carry more risks” (Item 9, p = 0.01), and 6.26% for “I am concerned about vaccine side effects” (Item 10, p = 0.043). For all other items, the difference in scores before and during the pandemic was not statistically significant (p > 0.05).

Table 2 Vaccine hesitancy scale (VHS) items used to assess childhood vaccine hesitancy and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy
Table 3 Summary of vaccine hesitancy scale (VHS) scores for childhood vaccine hesitancy before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

We found no statistically significant change in frequencies of routine vaccines received before the pandemic and vaccines planned during the pandemic. During the pandemic, 47.3% (86 of 182) planned to receive “All” vaccines and 6.0% (11 of 182) planned to receive “No” vaccines, which was a − 6.5% and − 12.6% decrease respectively, compared to vaccines received before the pandemic. Neither change was statistically significant (p = 0.26) (Table 4).

Table 4 Summary of frequencies of vaccines received before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Importance of Influenza Vaccines

We found no statistically significant change from before to during the pandemic in how parents perceived the importance of influenza vaccines. This is reflected in our added VHS Item 2 (“The influenza vaccine is important for my child’s health”). For before and during the pandemic, the data shows no statistically significant difference in scores (p = 0.13) (Table 3). Furthermore, intent to vaccinate against influenza did not significantly change. During the pandemic, 81.5% (119 of 146) answered “Yes,” a change of 2.7%, which was not statistically significant (p = 0.37) (Table 5).

Table 5 Summary of frequencies of influenza vaccines received before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Demographic Correlates of Vaccine Hesitancy

Tables 6 and 9 display statistically significant associations of demographic variables with childhood vaccine hesitancy and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy for Lack of Confidence and Risk, assessed during the pandemic. For childhood vaccine hesitancy, household income > 100 K (p = 0.031), Hispanic ethnicity (p = 0.038), and Other/Multiple race (p = 0.039) were associated with increased confidence (decreased Lack of Confidence scores) (Table 6). Age 45–54 years (p = 0.012), Master’s Degree (p = 0.039), and household income 50–99 K (p = 0.03) were associated with decreased risk perception (decreased Risk score), while Hispanic (p = 0.0001), African American (p = 0.0012), and Other/Multiple race (p = 0.006) were associated with increased risk perception (Table 7).

Table 6 Associations of demographic variables with childhood vaccine hesitancy, assessed during the COVID-19 pandemic—lack of confidence
Table 7 Associations of demographic variables with childhood vaccine hesitancy, assessed during the COVID-19 pandemic—risk

For COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, male sex (p = 0.013), age 45–54 years (p = 0.032), less than High School education (p = 0.014), and household income > 100 K (p = 0.008) were associated with increased confidence (decreased Lack of Confidence score) (Table 8). Declining to state political identification (p = 0.018), African American (p = 0.0001), Hispanic (p = 0.0003), and Other/Multiple race (p = 0.011) respondents had increased risk perception (increased Risk score), whereas higher education such as Master’s Degree (p = 0.009) and Post-graduate Degree (p = 0.025) were associated with decreased risk perception (Table 9).

Table 8 Associations of demographic variables with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy—lack of confidence
Table 9 Associations of demographic variables with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy—risk

Discussion

Our study shows that childhood vaccine hesitancy during the COVID-19 pandemic increased by a small but statistically significant degree, with higher total VHS scores during the pandemic compared with before. The greatest change during the pandemic for childhood vaccine hesitancy came from increased risk perception, as evidenced by higher Risk scores. The Risk category is comprised of questions concerning vaccine side effects, suggesting vaccine safety profile is a driving factor behind vaccine hesitancy. Overall, vaccine confidence, as measured by Lack of Confidence category, remained unchanged. Lack of Confidence is assessed through extent of parental agreement with healthcare provider trustworthiness and perceived benefit of vaccines. Our data shows that during the pandemic, there was increased doubt about benefit of vaccines offered by the government and trustworthiness of healthcare provider recommendations. This may reflect growing public concern regarding the extent of government involvement in the COVID-19 vaccine development process [14] and global distrust for scientific research [15], both noted during the pandemic. Previous publications have found an “anti-vaccination infodemic on social media” [16], with increase in anti-vaccine searches during the pandemic [17]. An increase in vaccine misinformation would support our findings of increased vaccine hesitancy. However, as parental perspectives on importance and effectiveness of vaccines were unchanged, most items assessed under Lack of Confidence were unchanged, resulting in unchanged overall confidence.

While overall vaccine hesitancy and risk perception increased, these changes had no statistically significant effect on plan for vaccinating with routine childhood vaccines and influenza vaccines. Parental willingness to vaccinate with “All” and “No” childhood vaccines before and during the pandemic did not change. Large awareness campaigns have been instituted to promote vaccinations; perhaps these influenced vaccine confidence. Our findings on intent to vaccinate against influenza differ from a recent study by Goldman et al., which found a 15.8% increase in plan to vaccinate against influenza after the pandemic (our increase of 2.7% was not statistically significant) [10]. Literature prior to the pandemic shows that in parents who are hesitant about influenza vaccines, 34 to 47% still vaccinated their child [7], which agrees with our findings that intent to vaccinate with influenza vaccine remains largely unchanged. We found no statistically significant difference in how parents viewed the importance of influenza vaccines during compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic. This may be because our survey respondents already felt influenza vaccines were important (the median VHS Score was 1 = “Strongly Agree” before the pandemic).

We identified key demographic correlates for childhood vaccine hesitancy and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in terms of confidence and risk perception. For childhood vaccine hesitancy, higher income households had less hesitancy, with both increased confidence (> 100 K) and decreased risk perception (50–99 K). Our findings agree with those of Boyle et al., who found that higher income households have higher vaccine acceptance [18]. For childhood vaccine hesitancy, Hispanic ethnicity had increased confidence, but also increased risk perception. African American race had no association with confidence, however, did have increased risk perception. For COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, African American race had decreased confidence, and both Hispanic ethnicity and African American race had increased risk perception. Similarly, Khubchandani et al. found that COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy was higher among African Americans and Hispanics compared to Whites [19]. While Khubchandani et al. and others have found Republicans to be more vaccine hesitant, in our study, political affiliation did not closely correlate with vaccine hesitancy.

Our study has several limitations, the major being that it is subject to recall bias regarding comparisons of vaccine hesitancy before and during the pandemic. In our analyses of intent to vaccinate before the pandemic, we were unable to correlate recalled parental reports with actual vaccination data given that it was an anonymous survey. It was challenging to classify the recalled number of vaccines received prior to the pandemic in a useful way. Our classification of a child having received “None,” “Most,” “Almost All,” or “All” vaccines, and whether they planned to receive “None,” “Most,” “Almost All,” or “All” vaccines may have been more meaningful if the categories were dichotomized to “None” and “More than None.” For some comparative questions before and during the pandemic, there were lower response rates resulting in smaller sample size. In several circumstances, parents were unable to complete the survey once their child was called out of the waiting room. Future iterations of the survey may need to be shortened, with some questions rearranged to better prioritize certain responses.

The study is a single center study with a dominantly Hispanic population. While perspectives within this study are reflective of our patient population, they may not be entirely generalizable beyond our surrounding community. Due to limits imposed by the pandemic including closed clinic times and limited patient access, we were unable to obtain access to additional sites. Within our convenience sample, we had an uneven distribution of patients from general pediatrics (inpatient and outpatient) and subspecialty clinics. In the future, it may be beneficial to conduct subgroup analyses of whether these settings differed in childhood vaccine hesitancy. Finally, the time span of the survey was September 2020 and February 2021, which spanned before and after the release of the COVID-19 vaccines to the general public. Future studies may involve time-dependent analyses of how the availability of the COVID-19 vaccine may have affected parental perspectives on childhood vaccine hesitancy.

Conclusion

Childhood vaccine hesitancy is a topic of crucial importance, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the pandemic, overall vaccine hesitancy and risk perception have increased, although vaccine confidence and intent to vaccinate remains unchanged. Vaccine hesitancy appears to be driven by risk perception regarding vaccine safety profiles. Despite misgivings, vaccine hesitancy does not necessarily translate into decreased intent to vaccinate, and parents continue to assign great importance to routine childhood vaccines and influenza vaccines. Vaccine hesitancy is significantly associated with different household income levels and race, suggesting that different strategies for different demographic groups may be needed to target effective communication about vaccines. With this study, we hope to establish a future framework to maintain pediatric immunizations and improve population health outcomes.