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Can the artificial intelligence technique of reinforcement learning use continuously-monitored digital data to optimize treatment for weight loss?

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Abstract

Behavioral weight loss (WL) trials show that, on average, participants regain lost weight unless provided long-term, intensive—and thus costly—intervention. Optimization solutions have shown mixed success. The artificial intelligence principle of “reinforcement learning” (RL) offers a new and more sophisticated form of optimization in which the intensity of each individual’s intervention is continuously adjusted depending on patterns of response. In this pilot, we evaluated the feasibility and acceptability of a RL-based WL intervention, and whether optimization would achieve equivalent benefit at a reduced cost compared to a non-optimized intensive intervention. Participants (n = 52) completed a 1-month, group-based in-person behavioral WL intervention and then (in Phase II) were randomly assigned to receive 3 months of twice-weekly remote interventions that were non-optimized (NO; 10-min phone calls) or optimized (a combination of phone calls, text exchanges, and automated messages selected by an algorithm). The Individually-Optimized (IO) and Group-Optimized (GO) algorithms selected interventions based on past performance of each intervention for each participant, and for each group member that fit into a fixed amount of time (e.g., 1 h), respectively. Results indicated that the system was feasible to deploy and acceptable to participants and coaches. As hypothesized, we were able to achieve equivalent Phase II weight losses (NO = 4.42%, IO = 4.56%, GO = 4.39%) at roughly one-third the cost (1.73 and 1.77 coaching hours/participant for IO and GO, versus 4.38 for NO), indicating strong promise for a RL system approach to weight loss and maintenance.

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Acknowledgements

This project was funded by a Drexel University DARE (Drexel Areas of Research Excellence) Award to Evan Forman. We would also like to acknowledge the assistance of Pedrag Krasnja whom we consulted during the planning of this study.

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Correspondence to Evan M. Forman.

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Evan M. Forman, Stephanie G. Kerrigan, Meghan L. Butryn, Adrienne S. Juarascio, Stephanie M. Manasse, Santiago Ontañón, Diane H. Dallal, Rebecca J. Crochiere and Danielle Moskow declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Human and animal rights and Informed consent

All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. This article does not contain any studies with animals performed by any of the authors. Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Forman, E.M., Kerrigan, S.G., Butryn, M.L. et al. Can the artificial intelligence technique of reinforcement learning use continuously-monitored digital data to optimize treatment for weight loss?. J Behav Med 42, 276–290 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10865-018-9964-1

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