Skip to main content
Log in

Understanding the Difference Between Robust Control and Optimal Control in a Linear Discrete-Time System with Time-Varying Parameters

  • Published:
Computational Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Robust control has been a very popular area of research in the last two decades. The goal of this paper is to investigate the assumptions implicit in the “nonprobabilistic nature” of the a priori information used to derive the linear-quadratic robust control in discrete-time. This is done by comparing robust control with the optimal control for a linear system with time-varying parameters. First the theoretical differences between the two approaches are discussed. Then they are used in two numerical examples: a simple model with one control, one state and a time horizon of two periods, which is suitable for hand calculations, and the permanent income model. The main conclusion is that the decision maker applying robust control is indeed assuming a very restricted class of true, unknown models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Amman, H.M. and Kendrick, D.A. (1993). Forward looking behavior and learning in stochastic control. The International Journal of Supercomputer Application, 7, 201–211.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amman, H.M. and Kendrick, D.A. (1995). Nonconvexities in stochastic control models. International Economic Review, 36, 455–475.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amman, H.M. and Kendrick, D.A. (2003). Mitigation of Lucas critique with stochastic control methods. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 27, 2035–2057.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, E., Hansen, L.P. and Sargent, T.J. (2000). Robustness, Detection and the Price of Risk, Mimeo University of Chicago.

  • Aoki, M. (1967). Optimization of Stochastic Systems, Academic Press, New York, NY.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barmish, B.R. (1988). New tools for robustness analysis. In Proceedings of the 27th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, pp. 1–6, Austin, TX.

  • Bar-Shalom, Y. and Sivan, K. (1969). On the optimal control of discrete-time linear systems with random parameters. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-14, 3–8.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bar-Shalom, Y. and Tse, E. (1976). Caution, probing and the value of information in the control of uncertain systems. Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, 5, 323–338.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bar-Shalom, Y., Tse, E. and Larson, R.E. (1974). Some recent advances in the development of closed-loop stochastic control and resource allocations algorithms. In Proceedings of the IFAC Symposium on Adaptive Control, Budapest.

  • Basar, T. and Bernhard, P. (1991). H -optimal Control and Related Minimax Design Problems: A Dynamic Game Approach, Birkhäuser, Boston, MA, 2nd Ed. 1995.

  • Bernhard, P. (2002). Survey of linear quadratic robust control. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 6, 19–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brainard, W. (1967). Uncertainty and the effectiveness of policy. American Economic Review, 57, 411–425.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chow, G.C. (1973). Effect of uncertainty on optimal control policies. International Economic Review, 14, 632–645.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chow, G.C. (1975). Analysis and Control of Dynamic Systems. Wiley, New York, NY.

    Google Scholar 

  • Craine, R., Havenner, A. and Tinsley, P. (1976). Optimal macroeconomic control policies. Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, 5, 191–204.

    Google Scholar 

  • Curry, R.E. (1969). A new algorithm for suboptimal stochastic control. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-14, 533–536.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farison, J.B., Graham, R.E. and Shelton, R.C. (1967). Identification and control of linear discrete systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-12, 438–442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giannoni, M.P. (2002). Does model uncertainty justify caution? Robust optimal monetary policy in a forward-looking model. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 6, 111–144.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P. and Sargent, T.J. (2001a). Elements of robust control and filtering for macroeconomics. Draft downloaded from Prof. Sargent's web site at www.stanford.edu/~sargent, version 23 March.

  • Hansen, L.P. and Sargent, T.J. (2001b). Robust control and model uncertainty. American Economic Review, 91, 60–66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P. and Sargent, T.J. (2003). Robust control of forward-looking models. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50, 581–604.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P., Sargent, T.J. and Tallerini, T. (1999). Robust permanent income and pricing. Review of Economic Studies, 66, 873–907.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P., Sargent, T.J. and Wang, N.E. (2002). Robust permanent income and pricing with filtering. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 6, 40–84.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harvey, A.C. (1981). Time Series Models. Philip Allan, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson, D. and Turnovsky, S.J. (1972). Optimal macroeconomic policy adjustment under conditions of risk. Journal of Economic Theory, 4, 58–72.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Intriligator, M.D. (1971). Mathematical Optimization and Economic Theory. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kendrick, D.A. (1981). Stochastic Control for Economic Models. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. Second Edition (2002) available at the Author's web site www.eco.utexas.edu/faculty/Kendrick.

  • Kendrick, D.A. (2005). Stochastic control for economic models: past, present and the paths ahead. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 3–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kendrick, D.A. and Majors, J. (1974). Stochastic control with uncertain macroeconomic parameters. Automatica, 10, 587–594.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ku, R. and Athans, M. (1973). On the adaptive control of linear systems using the open loop feedback optimal approach. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-18, 489–493.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MacRae, E.C. (1972). Linear decision with experimentation, Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, 1, 437–447.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mizrach, B. (1991). Non-convexities in a stochastic control problem with learning. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 15, 515–538.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Onatski, A. and Stock, J.H. (2002). Robust monetary policy under model uncertainty in a small model of the U.S. economy, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 6, 85–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rustem, B. (1988). A constrained min-max algorithm for rival models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 101–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rustem, B. (1992). A constrained min-max algorithm for rival models of the same economic system. Math Programming, 53, 279–295.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shupp, F.R. (1972). Uncertainty and stabilization policies for a nonlinear macroeconomic model. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80, 94–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shupp, F.R. (1976). Uncertainty and optimal stabilization policies. Journal of Public Finances, 6, 243–253.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sims, C.A. (2001). Pitfalls of a minimax approach to model uncertainty. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 91, pp. 51–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swamy, P.A.V.B. and Tinsley, P. (1980). Linear prediction and estimation methods for regression models with stationary stochastic coefficients. Journal of Econometrics, 12, 103–142.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tinsley, P., Craine, R. and Havenner, A. (1974). On NEREF solutions of macroeconomic tracking problems. 3rd NBER Stochastic Control Conference, Washington DC.

  • Tse, E. and Athans, M. (1972). Adaptive stochastic control for a class of linear systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-17, 38–52.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tse, E., Bar-Shalom, Y. and Meier, L. (1973). Wide sense adaptive dual control for nonlinear stochastic systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-18, 98–108.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. (1989). Time-varying parameters in adaptive control, Center for Economic Research, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Tx 78712.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. (1995). Time-varying parameters: A critical introduction. Journal of Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 6, 237–260.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. (1997). Adaptive control in the presence of time-varying parameters. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 22, 39–47.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. (1998). The nonconvexities problem: A simple computational solution. Computational Economics, 12, 203–222.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. (2004). The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control: A Promising Combination? Springer, Dordrecht.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tucci, M.P. and Kendrick, D.A. (2001). A robust permanent income model in the DUALI software: Quadratic tracking version, Working Paper, Center for Applied Research in Economics, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Tx 78712.

  • Turnovsky, S.J. (1975). Optimal choice of monetary instruments in a linear economic model with stochastic coefficients. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 7, 51–80.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turnovsky, S.J. (1977). Optimal control of linear systems with stochastic coefficients and additive disturbances, Chap. 11, in Pitchford, J. and S.J. Turnovsky. Application of control theory to economic analysis, North-Holland, Amsterdam.

  • Zames, G. (1981). Feedback and optimal sensitivity: Model reference transformation, multiplicative semi-norms and approximate inverses. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-26, 301–320.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to MARCO P. TUCCI.

Additional information

JEL classification: C61

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

TUCCI, M.P. Understanding the Difference Between Robust Control and Optimal Control in a Linear Discrete-Time System with Time-Varying Parameters. Comput Econ 27, 533–558 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-005-9002-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-005-9002-6

Keywords

Navigation