Abstract
Propensity to offend is an important and stable predictor of offending. A person’s propensity is often thought of as a multidimensional trait consisting of morality and low self-control. The aim of this paper is to explain individual differences in propensity to offend as one single construct and two of its dimensions, namely morality and low self-control. It is well established that low levels of morality and low self-control increase the risk of offending. However, there is less empirical research that focuses on the main predictors of morality and self-control. Therefore the main research question for this study is to explain to what extent parental attachment, parental control and the school social bond have a direct effect on one’s propensity to offend (low morality or delinquency tolerance and low self-control). The data are drawn from two different samples of young adolescents in Antwerp, Belgium (N = 2,486), and Halmstad, Sweden (N = 1,003). The results show that parental control, parental attachment and the school social bond have direct effects on individual differences in propensity to offend, regardless of individual background variables. The results are highly equivalent in both samples. The similarity of the results across two independent samples suggests that the findings are stable. Implications for further studies are discussed.
Notes
For a good overview see: Arneklev et al. 1993; Cochran et al. 1994; Evans et al. 1997; Gibbs and Giever 1995; Paternoster and Brame 1998; Pratt and Cullen 2000; Brownfield and Sorenson 1999; Gibbs et al. 2003; Grasmick et al. 1993; Piquero and Rosay 1998; Piquero and Tibbetts 1996; Ribeaud and Eisner 2006; Sorenson and Brownfield 1995; Turner and Piquero 2002; Vazsonyi et al. 2001; Wood et al. 1993.
Thus, we recognize that differences between groups such as age-groups, boys and girls, … exist. It is even possible to explain observed differences between such groups but therefore one should not interpret these relationships as causally dependent.
These students are approximately aged 12 to 14.
The independent direct effect of parental attachment is rather small (i.e. below 0.10) and not substantial, although it is statistically significant. A critical test of direct and indirect effects using structural equation modelling confirms the idea that the effect of parental attachment is by and large indirect and especially indirect through its effect on the school social bond and parental control.
Differences in sample size are probably the main reason why these effects still are significant in Antwerp, while they are too low to have a substantive effect.
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Pauwels, L., Svensson, R. Informal Controls and the Explanation of Propensity to Offend: A Test in Two Urban Samples. Eur J Crim Policy Res 16, 15–27 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10610-009-9115-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10610-009-9115-x