Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

New lakes in deglaciating high-mountain regions – opportunities and risks

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In connection with the ongoing disappearance of glaciers in cold mountains, a great number of new lakes come into existence. The sites and approximate formation time of such potential new lakes can be realistically modelled. This provides an important knowledge base for planning the management of at least the larger ones among such lakes. New water bodies can markedly increase the hazard and risk potential for down-valley areas in the long term, especially in relation to impact/flood waves triggered by rock/ice avalanches from the steep icy peaks surrounding them. However, they also offer opportunities for use in connection with tourism, water supply and hydropower production. Legal regulations and aspects of landscape protection and nature conservation have to be thereby carefully considered. Possible synergies and conflicts exist; they can be anticipated at an early stage by a matrix-type analysis of interrelations between the different perspectives involved. A corresponding inter- and transdisciplinary study was performed for the currently glacierized areas of the Swiss Alps. The results of this study may serve as an example for dealing with the consequences of rapid climate-induced changes in other populated regions with rugged icy mountains, such as the Peruvian Cordilleras or the Himalaya-Karakoram region.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aall C, Hoyer K (2005) Tourism and climate change adaptation: the Norwegian case. In: Hall M, Higham J (eds) Tourism, Recreation and Climate Change, Aspects of Tourism 22. Clevedon, pp 209–221

  • Allen SK, Linsbauer A, Randhawa SS, Huggel C, Rana P, Kumari A (2016) Glacial lake outburst flood risk in Himachal Pradesh, India: an integrative and anticipatory approach considering current and future threats. Nat Hazards. doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2511-x

    Google Scholar 

  • Biot M (2015) Steigende Kosten, sinkende Preise – Wirtschaftlichkeit der bestehenden Kraftwerke. Bulletin VSE/AES 106(2):9–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Buetler M (2006) Gletscher im Blickfeld des Rechts. Dissertation University of Zurich, Abhandlungen zum schweizerischen Recht 725, Bern

  • Buetler M (2007) Glaciers – objects of law and international treaties. In: Psenner R, Lackner R (eds) The Water Balance of the Alps – What do we need to protect the water resources of the Alps? Proceedings of the Conference held at Innsbruck University, 28-29 September 2006:19-31

  • Carey M, Huggel C, Bury J, Portocarrero C, Haeberli W (2012a) An integrated socio-environmental framework for glacier hazard management and climate change adaptation: lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Clim Chang 112(3):733–767

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carey M, French A, O’Brian E (2012b) Unintended effects of technology on climate change adaptation: an historical analysis of water conflicts below Andean Glaciers. J Hist Geogr 38:181–191. doi:10.1016/j.jhg.2011.12.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carey M, Baraer M, Mark BG, French A, Bury J, Young KR, McKenzie JM (2014) Toward hydro-social modeling: Merging human variables and the social sciences with climate-glacier runoff models (Santa River, Peru). J Hydrol 518(Part A):60–70. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.11.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cenderelli DA, Wohl EE (2001) Peak discharge estimates of glacial-lake outburst floods and “normal” climatic floods in the Mount Everest region, Nepal. Geomorphology 40:57–90. doi:10.1016/S0169-555X(01)00037-X

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clague JJ, O’Connor JE (2014) Glacier-related outburst floods. In: Haeberli W, Whiteman C (eds) Snow and Ice-related Hazards, Risks and Disasters. Elsevier, p 487-519

  • Colonia D, Haeberli W, Torres J, Giraldez C, Schauwecker S, Santiago A, Cochachin A, Huggel C (2015) Possible future lakes in the Andes of Peru. Geophys Res Abstr 17:EGU2015–4500

    Google Scholar 

  • Deline P, Gruber S, Delaloye R, Fischer L, Geertsema M, Giardino M, Hasler A, Kirkbride M, Krautblatter M, Magnin F, McColl S, Ravanel L, Schoeneich P (2014) Ice loss and slope stability in high-mountain regions. In: Haeberli W, Whiteman C (eds) Snow and Ice-related Hazards, Risks and Disasters. Elsevier, p 303-344

  • Drenkhan F, Carey M, Huggel C, Seidel J, Oré MT (2015) The changing water cycle: Climatic and socioeconomic drivers of water-related changes in the Andes of Peru. WIREs Water (in press)

  • Espiner S, Becken S (2014) Tourists towns on the edge: conceptualising vulnerability and resilience in a protected area tourism system. J Sustain Tour 22(4):646–665

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farinotti D, Pistocci A, Huss M (2016) From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps? Environ Res Lett II. 054022. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054022

  • Faulkner B (2001) Towards a framework for tourism disaster management. J Tour Manag 22:135–147

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • French A, Barandiarán J, Rampini C (2015) Contextualizing conflict. Vital water and competing values in glaciated environments. In: Huggel C, Carey M, Clague JJ, Kääb A (eds) The High-Mountain Cryosphere. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp 315–336

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Frey H, Huggel C, Bühler Y, Buis D, Dulce Burga M, Choquevilca W, Fernadez F, García Hernández J, Giráldez C, Loarte E, Masias P, Portocarrero C, Vicuña L, Walser M (2016) A robust debris-flow and GLOF risk management strategy for a data-scarce catchment in Santa Teresa, Peru. Landslides. doi:10.1007/s10346-015-0669-z

    Google Scholar 

  • Gagné K, Rasmussen MB, Orlove B (2014) Glaciers and society: attributions, perceptions, and valuations. WIREs Clim Chang. doi:10.1002/wcc.315

    Google Scholar 

  • Haeberli W, Kääb A, Vonder Mühll D, Teysseire P (2001) Prevention of outburst floods from periglacial lakes at Grubengletscher, Valais, Swiss Alps. J Glaciol 47(156):111–122

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haeberli W, Schaub Y, Huggel C (2016) Increasing risks related to landslides from degrading permafrost into new lakes in de-glaciating mountain ranges. Geomorphology. doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2016.02.009

  • Huggel C, Haeberli W, Kääb A (2008) Glacial hazards – perceiving and responding to threats in four world regions. In: Orlove B, Wiegandt E, Luckman BH (eds): Darkening Peaks - Glacial Retreat, Science and Society. University of California Press: 68–80

  • Huggel C, Scheel M, Albrecht F, Andres N, Calanca P, Jurt C, Khabarov N, Mira-Salama D, Rohrer M, Salzmann N, Silva Y, Silvestre E, Vicuña L, Zappa M (2015) A framework for the science contribution in climate adaptation: Experiences from science-policy processes in the Andes. Environ Sci Pol 47:80–94. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2014.11.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kääb A, Huggel C, Barbero S, Chiarle M, Cordola M, Epifani F, Haeberli W, Mortara G, Semino P, Tamburini A, Viazzo G (2004) Glacier hazards at Belvedere Glacier and the Monte Rosa east face, Italian Alps: processes and mitigation. Tenth Internationale Symposium Interpraevent 2004, 24-27 May 2004, Riva, Italy: 67-78

  • Khanal NR, Jin-Ming Hu J-M, Mool P (2015) Glacial lake outburst flood risk in the Poiqu/Bhote Koshi/Sun Koshi river basin in the Central Himalayas. Mt Res Dev 35(4):351–364. doi:10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-15-00009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lehmann Friedli T, Schaub Y (2013) Neue Gletscherseen im Alpenraum – Schaden- und Nutzenpotenzial für den Schweizer Tourismus. Nachhaltigkeit im alpinen Tourismus, Schweizer Jahrbuch für Tourismus 2012: 111-126

  • Linsbauer A, Paul F, Haeberli W (2012) Modeling glacier thickness distribution and bed topography over entire mountain ranges with GlabTop: application of a fast and robust approach. J Geophys Res 117:F03007. doi:10.1029/2011JF002313

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Linsbauer A, Frey H, Haeberli W, Machguth H, Azam MF, Allen S (2016) Modelling glacier‐bed overdeepenings and possible future lakes for the glaciers in the Himalaya‐Karakoram region. Ann Glaciol 567(71):119–130. doi:10.3189/2016AoG71A627

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McEvoy D, Cavan G, Handley J, McMarrow J, Lindley S (2008) Changes to climate and visitor behaviour: Implications for vulnerable landscapes in the North West Region of England. J Sustain Tour 16(1):101–121

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NELAK (2013) Neue Seen als Folge des Gletscherschwundes im Hochgebirge – Chancen und Risiken. Formation de nouveux lacs suite au recul des glaciers en haute montagne – chances et risques. Forschungsbericht NFP 61 (Haeberli W, Buetler M, Huggel C, Müller H, Schleiss A. (eds). Zürich, vdf Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH Zürich, 300p

  • Orlove B, Wiegandt E, Luckman BH (2008) Darkening peaks. Glacier retreat, science, and society. University of California Press, Berkeley CA

    Google Scholar 

  • Portocarrero CA (2013) Reducing the risk of dangerous lakes in the Peruvian Andes: A handbook for glacial lake management. US Agency for International Development, Washington, DC

  • Reynard E, Bonriposi M, Graefe O, Homewood C, Huss M, Kauzlaric M, Liniger H, Rey E, Rist S, Schädler B, Schneider F, Weingartner R (2014) Interdisciplinary assessment of complex regional water systems and their future evolution: how socioeconomic drivers can matter more than climate. WIREs Water 2014(1):413–426. doi:10.1002/wat2.1032

    Google Scholar 

  • Ritchie B (2008) Tourism disaster planning and management: From response and recovery to reduction and readiness. Tour Disaster Plan Manag 11(4):315–348

    Google Scholar 

  • Schaub Y (2015) Outburst floods from high-mountain lakes: Risk analysis of cascading processes under present and future conditions. PhD thesis, Geography Department, University of Zurich

  • Schleiss A, Oberrauch F (2014) Flexibilisierung der Wasserkraft in der Schweiz für zukünftige Aufgaben im internationalen Strommarkt. Wasser Energie Luft 106(3):175–178

    Google Scholar 

  • Scott D, Jones B (2005) Climate change and Banff National Park – implications for tourism and recreation. Faculty of Environmental Studies, Climate Change Action Fund, Ontario, Canada

  • Seibert J, Jenicek M, Huss M, Ewen T (2014) Snow and ice in the hydrosphere. In: Haeberli W, Whiteman C. (eds) Snow and Ice-related Hazards, Risks and Disasters, Elsevier:99-137

  • Terrier S, Jordan F, Schleiss AJ, Haeberli W, Huggel C, Künzler M (2011) Optimized and adapted hydropower management considering glacier shrinkage scenarios in the Swiss Alps. In: Schleiss A, Boes RM (eds) Proceedings of the International Symposium on Dams and Reservoirs under Changing Challenges - 79th Annual Meeting of ICOLD, Swiss Committee on Dams, Lucerne, Switzerland Taylor & Francis Group, London: 497 - 508

  • Terrier S, Bieri M, Jordan F, Schleiss AJ (2015) Impact du retrait glaciaire et adaptation du potentiel hydroélectrique dans les Alpes Suisses. La Houille Blanche 70(1):93–101. doi:10.1051/lhb/2015012

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tzu-Ming L (2014) Analysis of the economic impact of meterological disasters on tourism: the case of typhoon Markot’s impact on the Maolin National Scenic Area in Taiwan. Tour Econ 20(I):143–156

    Google Scholar 

  • Walters G, Mair J, Ritchie B (2015) Understanding the tourist’s response to natural disasters: the case of the 2011 Queensland floods. J Vacat Mark 21(I):101–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zemp M, Haeberli W, Hoelzle M, Paul F (2006) Alpine glaciers to disappear within decades? Geophys Res Lett 33:L13504. doi:10.1029/2006GL026319

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zemp M et al (2015) Historically unprecedented global glacier changes in the early 21st century. J Glaciol 61(228):1–17. doi:10.3189/2015JoG15J017

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The present contribution summarizes and reflects the main results of the project NELAK (new lakes as a consequence of melting glaciers: opportunities and risks) as part of the Swiss National Research Programme NRP 61 on Sustainable Water Management (http://www.nfp61.ch/E/projects/cluster-hydrology/lakes_melting_glaciers/Pages/default.aspx and http://www.vdf.ethz.ch/service/3533/3534_Neue-Seen-als-Folge-des-Gletscherschwundes-im-Hochgebirge_OA.pdf); the project was funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation. We thank the Steering Committee of NRP 61 as well as all the colleagues and stakeholders from the scientific, administrative and economic sectors, who provided important input to our inter- and transdisciplinary project. This study has benefited from studies and experiences acquired in the Glaciares Project in Peru, funded by the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) and in collaboration with CARE. We thank the editors and reviewers for their constructive feedback. Pamela Alean smoothed the English.

Author’s contributions

Wilfried Haeberli was the formal leader of the NELAK project, developed the structure of the present paper and drafted a first version based on the results and experiences gained in the NELAK project. All authors contributed to the project’s results and participated equally in the elaboration of the final publication, with special emphasis on hazards and risks (Christian Huggel, Yvonne Schaub), on hydropower (Anton J. Schleiss), on tourism (Therese Lehmann Friedli) and on legal matters (Michael Buetler).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wilfried Haeberli.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

ESM 1

(PDF 6907 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Haeberli, W., Buetler, M., Huggel, C. et al. New lakes in deglaciating high-mountain regions – opportunities and risks. Climatic Change 139, 201–214 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1771-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1771-5

Keywords

Navigation