Abstract
A decision-making problem of investment into a profitable object in a catastrophic risk area is considered. By a catastrophic risk is meant the probability of severe yet unlikely losses. As a risk hedging mechanism, an insurance fund is considered that is replenished by a part of profit and is used for object renewal. It is shown that methods of insurance mathematics can be used to assess the risk to lose the object. For the plant loss probability as a function of the insurance reserve, integral equations are derived. They can be solved by successive approximations.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Yu. M. Ermol’yev, T. Yu. Ermol’yeva, G. McDonald, and V. I. Norkin, “Problems of insurances of catastrophic risks,” Cybern. Syst. Analysis, 37, No. 2, 220–234 (2001).
Z. Body, A. Kane, and A. Markus, Essentials of Investments, 4th ed., McGraw-Hill (2001).
R. T. Rockafellar and S. Uryasev, “Optimization of conditional value-at-risk,” J. Risk, 2, 21–42 (2000).
V. I. Norkin, “On measuring and profiling catastrophic risks,” Cybern. Syst. Analysis, 42, No. 6, 839–850 (2006).
M. M. Leonenko, Yu. S. Mishura, Ya. M. Parkhomenko, and M. J. Yadrenko, Probability-Theoretic and Statistical Methods in Econometrics and Financial Mathematics [in Ukrainian], Informtekhnika, Kyiv (1995).
R. E. Beard, T. Pentikäinen, and E. Pesonen, Risk Theory. The Stochastic Basis of Insurance, 3rd ed., Chapman and Hall, London-New York (1984).
S. Asmussen, Ruin Probabilities, World Scientific, Singapore (2000).
B. V. Norkin, “Calculating ruin probability of a non-Poisson risk process by the method of successive approximations,” Probl. Upravl. Inform., No. 2, 133–144 (2005).
A. V. Boikov, “The Cramer-Lundberg model with stochastic premiums,” Teor. Veroyan. i yeyo Primen., 47, Issue 3, 549–553 (2002).
B. V. Norkin, “The method of successive approximations applied to find the nonbankruptcy probability for an insurance company with random premiums,” Cybern. Syst. Analysis, 42, No. 1, 98–110 (2006).
V. I. Norkin, “Solving the Wiener-Hopf equation with a probabilistic kernel,” Cybern. Syst. Analysis, 42, No. 2, 195–201 (2006).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
__________
Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 3, pp. 74–83, May–June 2007.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Norkin, V.I. Self-insurance of investor under repeating catastrophic risks. Cybern Syst Anal 43, 377–383 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-007-0059-1
Received:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-007-0059-1