Indirect effects between shared prey: Predictions for

Abstract

Suppression of a target prey by a predator can depend on its surrounding community, including the presence of nontarget, alternative prey. Basic theoretical models of two prey species that interact only via a shared predator predict that adding an alternative prey should increase predator numbers and ultimately lower target pest densities as compared to when the target pest is the only prey. While this is an alluring prediction, it does not explain the numerous responses empirically observed. To better understand and predict the indirect interactions produced by shared predation, we explore how additional prey species affect three broad ecological mechanisms, the predator's reproductive, movement, and functional responses. Specifically, we review current theoretical models of shared predation by focusing on these mechanisms, and make testable predictions about the effects of shared predation. We find that target predation is likely to be higher in the two prey system because of predator reproduction, especially when: predators are prey limited, alternative or total prey density is high, or alternative prey are available over time. Target predation may also be greater because of predator movement, but only under certain movement rules and spatial distributions. Predator foraging behavior is most likely to cause lower target predation in the two-prey system, when per capita predation is limited by something other than prey availability. It is clear from this review that no single theoretical generalization will accurately predict community-level effects for every system. However, we can provide testable hypotheses for future empirical and theoretical investigations of indirect interactions and help enhance their potential use in biological control.