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Risk analysis of the spread of the quarantine pest mite Schizotetranychus hindustanicus in Brazil

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Abstract

Schizotetranychus hindustanicus Hirst (Acari: Tetranychidae) known as the Hindustan citrus mite, is a quarantine pest present in Roraima, Brazil. In 1924 this pest was described in India. It was reported in 2002 in Venezuela and in Roraima in 2008. In 2010, the Hindustan citrus mite was reported in Colombia. It is possible that it will be introduced in other areas of Brazil, resulting in a threat to Brazilian citrus industry. Our objective was to determine the most suitable regions of Brazil for S. hindustanicus using a maximum entropy (Maxent) algorithm, based on native and invasive updated occurrence records from published research, field surveys and online databases. To avoid overfitting and improving transferability, we chose parameter settings of Maxent to construct and validate models by searching for the best combination of feature classes and regularization multipliers. The model obtained showed excellent performance according to all evaluation metrics used. A high potential for the establishment of S. hindustanicus was identified in large areas of Roraima, the extreme west of Amazonas, the entire north of the State of Pará, also in northeast, south, east, and north of the State of Amapá, and in a small portion northwest of the State of Maranhão (all states belonging to the northern region of Brazil). Our results provide information for policy making and quarantine measures, especially where S. hindustanicus is still absent in Brazil.

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Data availability

The data for the present study are available upon descent request from the corresponding author.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Embrapa and the Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) for the financial support.

Funding

The Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation funded this work—Embrapa, project number 131604030.00.00, developed at Embrapa Roraima.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Embrapa Roraima, Boa Vista, Roraima, 69301-970, Brazil

    George Amaro

  2. Embrapa Cerrados, Brasília, DF, Brazil

    Elisangela Gomes Fidelis

  3. Universidad de Salamanca, Biologia e Conservação da Biodiversidade, Salamanca, Spain

    Cristian Madeira de Medeiros

  4. Departamento de Agronomia, Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Diamantina, MG, 39100-000, Brazil

    Ricardo Siqueira da Silva

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  1. George Amaro
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  4. Ricardo Siqueira da Silva
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Contributions

GA and EGF: made substantial contributions to the conception and design of the work; the acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of data used in the work. GA, EGF, CMM, and RSS: revised the work. GA, EGF, CMM, and RSS: approved the version to be published, and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.

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Correspondence to Ricardo Siqueira da Silva.

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Amaro, G., Fidelis, E.G., de Medeiros, C.M. et al. Risk analysis of the spread of the quarantine pest mite Schizotetranychus hindustanicus in Brazil. Exp Appl Acarol 88, 263–275 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10493-022-00760-5

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