Abstract
Background
We have previously shown regional differences in the incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) within Japan, which is ethnically homogenous, suggesting that non-genetic factors may contribute to the differences. We examined regional distribution in the incidence of low birth weight (LBW), a surrogate for low nephron number, in our search for an explanation.
Methods
Each year, the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan and the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy report the number of LBW babies and patients initiating maintenance dialysis in each prefecture of Japan, respectively. In this study, we calculated the annual incidences of LBW and ESRD in 11 regions of Japan over a 24-year period from 1984 to 2007.
Results
There were distinct regional differences in the annual incidences of both LBW and ESRD (p < 0.0001). These regional distributions persisted despite consistent increases (p < 0.0001) in incidences of both LBW and ESRD during the study period. Compared with the reference group consisting of 3 regions with the lowest LBW incidence, the odds ratios for ESRD (95% confidence interval) of the 5 regions with intermediate LBW incidence and the 3 regions with the highest LBW incidence are 1.09 (1.05–1.14) and 1.29 (1.22–1.35), respectively. The annual incidence of LBW was positively correlated with annual incidence of ESRD in their regional distribution across 11 regions (r = 0.66, p = 0.03).
Conclusions
The present study, relating regional distribution between LBW and ESRD dynamics in a nationwide population of Japan, revealed that the marked regional differences in the incidence of ESRD within Japan could be explained by a similar regional distribution in the incidence of LBW.
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Acknowledgments
We thank the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy for giving us the opportunity to use data about the incidence of ESRD presented here. This study is supported by Research Grants for Cardiovascular Diseases (C-2001-5) from the Ministry of Health and Welfare of Japan, as well as Grants from Nagoya City University, Salt Science Research Foundation (No. 04C1), Metabolic Disorders Treatment Research Foundation, Aichi Kidney Foundation and Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation, and Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B#19390232 and C#17590836) from Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan through Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science. These funding sources had no role in the design, conduct, analysis or interpretation of the study.
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Ichikawa, T., Fukuda, M., Wakamatsu-Yamanaka, T. et al. Low birth weight and end-stage renal disease: demographic analysis by region in Japan. Clin Exp Nephrol 16, 596–603 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10157-012-0600-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10157-012-0600-z