Skip to main content
Log in

A practical approach to assess risk in aviation domains for safety management systems

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Cognition, Technology & Work Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The introduction of a safety management system (SMS) in the real operational environment has become a key factor in a proactive view of flight safety. The deep cultural change and effort that the application of an SMS requires, at economical and organisational level, has led to a delay in the definition of shared mandatory guidelines by the international civil aviation authorities. At present, the majority of attempts to develop an SMS are the result of the efforts of single organisations and operators. This paper describes a methodology aimed at practical and straightforward implementations of risk assessment processes and able to tackle real problems. The application process might be used as guideline for the analysis of critical activities resulting from retrospective and prospective assessments of operational environments. The results obtained for a sample case, based on a real “change situation” occurring in a medium size flight operator, demonstrate how the process is carried out and how to highlight and deal with the underlining critical threats and hazards that require immediate action in order to guarantee acceptable safe operational levels. These include the definition of corrective actions and the identification of responsible persons to monitor the activities designated to mitigate the associated risk.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Air Dolomiti (2011) Air Dolomiti Safety Management Manual

  • Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) 2012. ACRP Report 74. Application of Enterprise Risk Management at Airports

  • ARMS (2011) The ARMS methodology for operational risk assessment in aviation organisations. http://www.easa.eu.int/essi/documents/Methodology.pdf.visited2011.12.28

  • Ayres M, Shirazi H, Carvalho R, Hall J, Speir R, Arambula E, David R, Gadzinski J, Caves R, Wong D, Pitfield D (2013) Modelling the location and consequences of aircraft accidents. Saf Sci 51:178–186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bello GC, Colombari C (1980) The human factors in risk analyses of process plants: the control room operator model, TESEO. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 1:3–14

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Byrom NT (1994) The essential elements of a safety management system. In: Cacciabue PC, Gerbaulet I, Mitchison N (eds) Safety management systems in the process industry. EUR 15743 EN, 22–30

  • Cacciabue PC (2004) Human error risk management for engineering systems: a methodology for design, safety assessment, accident investigation and training. Special Issue on HRA Data Issues and Errors of Commission. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 83:229–240

  • Cacciabue PC, Cassani M (2012) Modelling motivations, tasks and human errors in a risk-based perspective. Cog Tech Work 14(3):229–241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cassani M, Licata V, Baranzini D, Corrigan S, De Grandis E, Ottomaniello A (2012) Integrated data management for handling hazard of change situations: a sample case of operational implementation. In: Proceedings of PSAM-11—ESREL 2012 Helsinki Finland June 25–29

  • De Col A (2012) Il safety management system come strumento di valorizzazione e certificazione della sicurezza in campo aeronautico: analisi prospettiche in accordo alle line guida dall’Autorità ed alle esperienze Aziendali. Master Thesis (in Italian) Politecnico di Milano

  • De Grandis E, Oddone I, Ottomaniello A, Cacciabue PC (2012) Managing risk in real contexts with scarcity of data and high potential hazards: the case of flights in airspace contaminated by volcanic ash. In: Proceedings of PSAM-11—ESREL 2012, Helsinki, Finland, June 25–29

  • EASA—European Aviation Safety Agency (2011) Notice of proposed amendment—explanatory note. Authority, Organisation and Operations Requirements for Aerodromes. NPA 2011-20 (A)

  • EASA—European Aviation Safety Agency (2012) European aviation safety plan 2012–2015—Final report

  • Ersdal G, Aven T (2008) Risk informed decision-making and its ethical basis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 93:197–205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • FAA (2010) SMS notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) for 14 CFR Part 121 Certificate Holders. SMS NRPM for 14 CFR Part 121

  • Hollnagel E (1998) Cognitive reliability and error analysis method. Elsevier, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Hudson P (2000) Safety management and safety culture. The Long, Hard and Winding Road. In: Pearse W, Gallagher C, Bluff L (eds) (2001) Proceedings of the first national conference on occupational health and safety management systems. Crown Content, Melbourne, Australia, 3–32

  • IAEA—International Atomic Energy Agency (2005) Risk informed regulation of nuclear facilities: overview of the current status IAEA-TECDOC-1436. Vienna, Austria

  • IAEA—International Atomic Energy Agency (2011) A framework for an integrated risk informed decision making process INSAG-25. Vienna, Austria

  • IATA—International Air Transport Association (2010) IOSA standards manual. Reference No: 6361-03. IATA, Montreal, Canada

  • ICAO—International Civil Aviation Organisation (1987) Acciden/incident reporting manual. Second edition—DOC 9156-AN/900, Montreal, Canada

  • ICAO—International Civil Aviation Organisation (1993) Investigation of human factors in accidents and incidents. Human Factors Digest, No 7, ICAO Circular 240-AN/144 Montreal, Canada

  • ICAO—International Civil Aviation Organisation (1997) Accident/incident reporting manual-ADREP 2000 draft. ICAO Report, Montreal, Canada

  • ICAO—International Civil Aviation Organisation (2012) Safety management manual. Doc 9859 AN/474. Third Edition Montreal, Canada

  • Kirchsteiger C, Christou MD, Papadakis GA (1998) Risk assessment and management in the context of the Seveso II Directive. Industrial Safety Series, n. 6. Elsevier, Amsterdam

  • Liou JJH, Yen L, Tzeng GH (2008) Building an effective safety management system for airlines. J Air Transp Manag 14:20–26

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mariani C (2012) Risk analysis in take-off procedure with Electronic Flight Bag. Master Thesis, Politecnico di Milano

  • McDonald N, Ulfvengren P, Ydalus M, Oder E (2012) A methodology for managing system change. In: Proceedings of PSAM-11—ESREL 2012, Helsinki, Finland June 25–29

  • Mosleh A, Dias A, Eghbali G, Fazen K (2004) An integrated framework for identification, classification, and assessment of aviation system hazards. In: Proceedings of PSAM-07—ESREL 2004, Berlin, Germany June 14–18

  • NASA (2010) NASA risk informed decision making handbook. NASA/SP-2010-576 (Vol. 1)

  • NASA (2011) Probabilistic risk assessment procedures guide for NASA managers and practitioners NASA-SP-2011-3421

  • Nielsen DS (1971) The cause/consequence diagram method as a basis for quantitative accident analysis. Danish Atomic Energy Commission RISO-M-1374

  • NRC—US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (1995) Final policy statement ‘use of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methods in nuclear regulatory activities. 60 FR 42622, Washington

  • NRC—US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (1998) An approach for plant-specific, risk-informed decision making: technical specifications. RG 1.177, Washington

  • NRC—US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (2002) An approach for using probabilistic risk assessment in risk-informed decisions on plant-specific changes to the licensing basis. RG 1.174, Washington

  • NRC—US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (2003) Fleming KN. Issues and recommendations for advancement of PRA technology in risk-informed decision making. NUREG 6813

  • NRC—US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (2009) Drouin M, Parry G, Lehner J, Martinez-Guridi G, LaChance J, Wheeler T. Guidance on the treatment of uncertainties associated with PRAs in risk-informed decision making. NUREG 1855, vol. 1

  • Ranlöf L, Knochenhauera M, Hultqvist G (2012) Chasing a moving target: applying safety goals on a living PSA. In: Proceedings of international conference PSAM 11-ESREL 2012, 25–29 June, Helsinki

  • Roelen ALC, Wever R (2005) Accident scenarios for an integrated aviation safety model. National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, NLR-CR-2005-560

  • Schindler J, Cassani M (2013) Using an integrated simulation environment for the risk based design of advanced driver assistance systems. Transp Res Part F 21:269–277

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siu N (1994) Risk assessment for dynamic systems: an overview. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 43(1):43–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stolzer AJ, Halford CJ, Goglia JJ (2010) Safety management systems in aviation. Ashgate, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Swain AD, Guttmann HE (1983) Handbook of reliability analysis with emphasis on nuclear plant applications. Nuclear Regulatory Commission NUREG/CR-1278, Washington

  • Tamasi G, Demichela M (2011) Risk assessment techniques for civil aviation security. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 96(8):892–899

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • UK-CAA (2010) Guidance on the conduct of hazard identification, risk assessment and the production of safety cases. UK Civil Aviation Authority, ISBN 978 0 11792 488 8

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors are in debt with the members of the research team of the MASCA Project. The MASCA project has received funding from the European Commission Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007–2013) under Grant agreement No. 266423. An important support work of data collection and analysis has been carried out in two Master Theses of the Politecnico of Milan. The authors are grateful the C. Mariani and A. De Col for their detailed and skilled work of data analysis.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to P. C. Cacciabue.

Additional information

A. Ottomaniello is currently working at SW Italia, Safety Department

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Cacciabue, P.C., Cassani, M., Licata, V. et al. A practical approach to assess risk in aviation domains for safety management systems. Cogn Tech Work 17, 249–267 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10111-014-0294-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10111-014-0294-y

Keywords

Navigation