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Comparison of SPI and SPEI applicability for drought impact assessment on crop production in the Danubian Lowland and the East Slovakian Lowland

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Abstract

Drought belongs among the main impact factors considering crop yields. Therefore, this paper is focused on the assessment of drought occurrence and intensity as well as on its impact on crop yields on the Danubian and the East Slovakian lowlands with the spatial resolution at district level. Yield data were the main limitation of the study, which resulted in the limited length of the assessed period (1996–2013). The standardized yields of ten crops (winter wheat, spring wheat, winter barley, spring barley, rye, maize, potatoes, oilseed rape, sunflower, and sugar beet) were correlated with monthly, 2-, and 3-monthly standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation and evapotranspiration index (SPEI). For this purpose, the common significance level of alpha = 0.05 was used. The temporal evolution of both indices and drought occurrence during the period 1961–2013 were assessed for each district. Most crops show a higher correlation with the SPEI than with the SPI in contrast to potatoes, which reached a higher significant correlation using the SPI. The correlation also increases with increasing number of months within a time step. The highest correlation can be seen between maize and the 3-monthly SPEI in August representing summer precipitation and potential evapotranspiration conditions. Furthermore, a very high correlation was recorded considering sugar beet, which is influenced mainly by summer precipitation, because the correlation coefficient between the sugar beet and the 3-monthly SPI is as high as using the 3-monthly SPEI. Crop yields in the East Slovakian Lowland do not seem to be influenced by wet/dry periods identified using the SPI and the SPEI as their correlation with both indices is quite low and insignificant.

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Acknowledgments

This paper was supported by grant VEGA 1/0103/14, which is financed by the Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Sport of the Slovak Republic.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Natural Sciences, Comenius University in Bratislava, Mlynská Dolina, Ilkovičova 6, 842 15, Bratislava, Slovakia

    L. Labudová & M. Labuda

  2. Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15, Bratislava, Slovakia

    L. Labudová

  3. National Agricultural and Food Centre-Soil Science and Conservation Research Institute, Gagarinova 10, 827 13, Bratislava, Slovakia

    J. Takáč

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  1. L. Labudová
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  2. M. Labuda
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  3. J. Takáč
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Correspondence to L. Labudová.

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Labudová, L., Labuda, M. & Takáč, J. Comparison of SPI and SPEI applicability for drought impact assessment on crop production in the Danubian Lowland and the East Slovakian Lowland. Theor Appl Climatol 128, 491–506 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1870-2

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