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Spatial pattern analysis using hybrid models: an application to the Hellenic seismicity

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Abstract

Earthquakes are one of the most destructive natural disasters and the spatial distribution of their epicentres generally shows diverse interaction structures at different spatial scales. In this paper, we use a multi-scale point pattern model to describe the main seismicity in the Hellenic area over the last 10 years. We analyze the interaction between events and the relationship with geological information of the study area, using hybrid models as proposed by Baddeley et al. (2013). In our analysis, we find two competing suitable hybrid models, one with a full parametric structure and the other one based on nonparametric kernel estimators for the spatial inhomogeneity.

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Acknowledgments

This research was partially developed during the traineeship at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia funded by “PROGRAMMA OPERATIVO CONVERGENZA 2007-2013 FONDO SOCIALE EUROPEO (MISURA 3)” and this work was partially funded by Grant MTM2013-43917-P from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Education. We thank the reviewers for providing constructive comments and helping in improving the quality of this paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Università degli Studi di Palermo, Palermo, Italy

    Marianna Siino, Giada Adelfio & Marcello Chiodi

  2. Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain

    Jorge Mateu

  3. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, National Earthquake Center, Rome, Italy

    Antonino D’Alessandro

Authors
  1. Marianna Siino
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  2. Giada Adelfio
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  3. Jorge Mateu
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  4. Marcello Chiodi
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  5. Antonino D’Alessandro
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Correspondence to Marianna Siino.

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Siino, M., Adelfio, G., Mateu, J. et al. Spatial pattern analysis using hybrid models: an application to the Hellenic seismicity. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 31, 1633–1648 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1294-7

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