Abstract
This study evaluates the reliability of information obtained by standardized questionnaires used in by personal interviews for estimation of radiation thyroid doses of 1065 individuals in the Belarusian cohort of individuals who were exposed in utero and early life following the Chernobyl accident in April 1986. Data from two interviews conducted in 2012–2017 and in 2018–2022 with mothers, who were pregnant or gave birth shortly after the Chernobyl accident, were analysed. The most reliable answers dealt with various attributes related to residential history. In contrast, the reliability of answers regarding consumption rates of milk from privately owned cows or trade network was moderate, while the agreement in responses for consumption of milk products and leafy vegetables was fair. Information from the two interviews was used to calculate thyroid doses received by the cohort members. Specifically, ‘model-based’ thyroid doses due to 131I were estimated using input data on individual residential history and food consumption reported during the personal interviews and ecological data (131I ground deposition in the corresponding settlements). In addition, for a subset of cohort subjects (n = 205) whose mothers were measured for 131I thyroid activity, ‘measurement-based’ thyroid doses were calculated by adjusting the model-based dose using a scaling factor that is defined as the ratio of measured 131I thyroid activity to model-based 131I thyroid activity calculated for the date of measurement. A moderate agreement was observed for total (prenatal and postnatal) model-based thyroid doses due to 131I intake, the arithmetic mean ± standard deviation for the Jaccard similarity coefficient (\({J}_{sim}\)) was 0.45 ± 0.34 (median = 0.39), while measurement-based doses showed a much better agreement with a \({J}_{sim}\) of 0.78 ± 0.29 (median = 0.93). For model-based thyroid doses from external irradiation and from ingestion of 134Cs and 137Cs, \({J}_{sim}\) was 0.82 ± 0.23 (median = 0.90) and 0.84 ± 0.24 (median = 0.96), respectively. Measurement-based doses due to ingestion of radiocaesium isotopes resulted in an almost perfect agreement, \({J}_{sim}\) was 0.91 ± 0.19 (median = 1.0). The present findings suggest that long-term memory recall can be reliable, if a person is asked about unique or important life events, such as pregnancy and childbirth occurring around the time of a nuclear reactor accident. However, the substantial difference (more than 10 times) observed for model-bases doses calculated using the two questionnaires represents an important source of human factor uncertainties that needs to be considered in any dose response analyses. Other lessons learned from this study are that (i) individual measurements of radionuclides in the human body are the most valuable source of information for estimating radiation doses, and (ii) whenever a radiation accident occurs, a sample of affected people should be asked to keep a diary, if at all possible.
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Funding
This work was supported by the Intra-Agency Agreement between the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID, USA) and the National Cancer Institute (NCI, USA), NIAID agreement # DCC-OD-12-900, and by the Intramural Research Program of the Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, NCI, NIH (USA), within the framework of the Belarus-U.S. Study of Thyroid Cancer and Other Diseases Following the Chernobyl Accident (Protocol #OH95-C-NO21) through contracts HHSN261201300002C and HHSN261201800015C between the NCI and the Republican Research Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology (Gomel, Belarus).
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VD designed the study. IV, VY and AR organized, conducted and supervised filed work for the tracing, contacting and interviewing of mothers. VM and ST calculated the radiation doses to the thyroid gland for the study subjects. VD and TK analyzed the data. VD, TK and KM wrote the manuscript. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
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Drozdovitch, V., Kukhta, T., Minenko, V. et al. Recall of residential history and dietary habits during pregnancy and lactation in the distant past: reliability of questionnaire-based radiation doses for persons exposed in utero and early life. Radiat Environ Biophys 62, 465–481 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00411-023-01040-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00411-023-01040-5