Abstract
The recent artificial intelligence techniques are commonly applied to solving problems in which multidimensional statistical analyses of various quantities and their modelling prognostic functions can be used. This paper attempts to summarize the characteristics of the prognostic functions applied in the determination of the maximum possible earthquake. Geonomic quantities are reviewed and categorized with respect to their influence upon the estimation of the maximum possible earthquake.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bune, V. I., Vychev, V. T., Gitis, V. G., and Mironov, M. A.: 1982, Application of interval approximation method of expert estimates for construction ofM max earthquake map of Bulgaria,Geologica Balcanica 12, 49–70.
Bune, V. I., Osher, B. V., Gitis, V. G., Shchukin, Yu. K., and Kalenik, V. N.: 1985a, Delineation ofM max zones and calculations of seismic shakeability in the Crimea-Taman peninsula region, inProc. 3rd International Symposium on Analysis of Seismicity and Seismic Risk, Liblice, June 17–22, 1985, Prague, Vol. 2, pp. 400–405.
Bune, V. I., Gitis, V. G., Shchukin, Yu. K., and Kalenik, V. N.: 1985b, Development and analysis of theM max earthquake map for the Caucasus, inProc. 3rd International Symposium on Analysis of Seismicity and Seismic Risk, Liblice, June 17–22, 1985, Prague, Vol. 2, pp. 406–412.
Duda, R., Hart, P. E., Nilsson, N. J., Barrett, P., Gaschnig, J.G., Konolige, K., Reboh, R., and Slocum, J.: 1978, Development of the PROSPECTOR consultation system for mineral exploration, inSRI REPORT, Stanford.
Gitis, V. G., Bune, V. I., and Shchukin, Yu. K.: 1978, Algorithmic prognosis ofM max earthquakes based on geological and geophysical data (Crimea - Caucasus - West Turkmenia), inProc. Symposium on the Analysis of Seismicity and on Seismic Risk, Liblice, 17–22, October 1977, Prague, pp. 69–79.
Gitis, V. G., Mironov, M. A., Bune, V. I., and Vychev, V. T.: 1982, Development ofM max maps of earthquakes based on the approximation method of interval expert evaluations,Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR, Fizika Zemli No. 4, 3–44.
Gitis, V. G., Deart, D. A., Rudenko, S. L., and Osher, B. V.: 1989a, GEO - an expert system for geological and geophysical prognosis, inProc. Exspertnye sistemy: sostoyanie i perspektivy,Nauka, moscow, pp 119–130.
Gitis, V. G., Alvarez, L., Chuy, T., Cotilla, M., Makarov, V. I., and Shchukin, Yu. K.: 1989b, Estimation and analysisM max of the earthquakes of Caribbean and Middle America region with the help of the GEO expert system, inProc. 4th International Symposium on the Analysis of Seismicity and Seismic Risk, Bechyně, September 4–9, 1989, Prague, Vol. 1, pp. 128–137
Gitis, V. G., Yurkov, E. F., and Osher, B. V.: 1991, GEO - an expert system for geological and geophysical prognosis, inProc. 4th International Conference on Seismic Zonation, Stanford, August 25–29, 1991, Stanford, Vol. 3, pp. 59–64
Gitis, V. G., Ermakov, B. V., Ivanovskaya, L. V., Osher, B. V., Trofimov, D. P., and Shchukin, Yu. K.: 1992, The GEO expert system application for seismic hazard analysis of the Caucasus region,Cahiers du Centre Européen de Géodynamique et de Séismologie, Luxembourg, Vol. 6, pp. 117–133.
Reboh, R.: 1981, Knowledge engineering techniques and tools in the PROSPECTOR environment, inSRI Technical Note, Stanford, p. 243.
Riznichenko, Yu. V.: 1974, Problems of earthquake size (in Russian).Proc. Magnituda i energeticheskaya klassifikaciya zemletryasenii, MSSSS Acad. Sci. of the U.S.S.R., Moscow, pp. 43–78.
Schenk, V., Gitis, V. G., Schenková, Z., Mantlík, F., Kottnauer, P., Yurkov, E. F., and Shchukin, Yu. K.: 1991, Maximum earthquake prediction in Central Europe given by the GEO-1.2 expert system, inProc. 4th International Conference on Seismic Zonation, Stanford, August 25–29, 1991, Stanford, Vol. 3, pp. 83–91.
Schenk, V., Gitis, V. G., and Schenková, Z.: 1992a, Aspects of artificial intelligence techniques in earthquake hazard assessment and seismic risk mitigation,Cahiers du Centre Européen de Géodynamigue et de Séismologie, Luxembourg, Vol. 6, pp. 145–152.
Schenk, V., Gitis, V. G., Schenková, Z., Mantlík, F., Kottnauer, P., Yurkov, E. F., and Shchukin, Yu. K.: 1992b, Maximum earthquake assessment and the GEO-1.2 expert system - example of the Central Europe, inProc. and Activity Report, 22nd General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Barcelona, September 17–22, 1990, Barcelona, Vol. 2, pp. 571–578.
Shteinberg, V. V., Krestnikov, V. N., Bune, V. I., Šimůnek, P., and Barták, V.: 1988, Conclusions to a seismic hazard of the NPP ‘Bohunice’ (in Russian), Contract No. 85-051/72900 from 26.1.1988. Inst. Phys. Earth, Acad. Sci. of the USSR - Energoprojekt, FMPE, Moscow - Prague, 104 pp.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Schenk, V., Schenková, Z. & Gitis, V.G. Features of geonomic prognostic functions for the maximum possible earthquake. Nat Hazards 10, 97–115 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00643445
Received:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00643445