Abstract
This chapter presents the general framework for systemic analysis of a set of interconnected civil infrastructural systems described in this book. While the relevant following chapters provide details on specific aspects of distributed seismic hazard (Chap. 3), vulnerability of components (the companion book), functional model of each system and their interactions (Chap. 5), and socio-economic impact evaluation (Chap. 4), this chapter focuses mainly on how the overall model has been developed according to the object-oriented paradigm, and on the way uncertainty in all factors is modelled.
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Notes
- 1.
The term ‘Infrastructure’ is a short-hand used in the following for the phrase ‘set of interconnected civil infrastructural systems’, this use being introduced first in (PCCIP 1997).
- 2.
The term ‘program’ is used here after Booch et~al. (2007). The modelling paradigm was born in the computer science community and it is intimately related to software design. This chapter, however, does not describe a software but, rather, the conceptual design of the platform-independent model that can (and indeed has been) implemented in a platform-specific application. This separation between platform-independent conceptual models and platform-specific implementation(s) is typical of the OOP.
- 3.
Figure 2.7 shows also a class not yet developed, included to allow for “generalized ground motion prediction models”, i.e. models that based on the same input of GMPE provide the full one- or multi-component time-series of motion at the site. The class is called GMTS, which stands for Ground Motion Time Series.
- 4.
Crowley and Bommer (2006) were probably the first to point out the need to use GMPEs with separate characterization of inter- and intra-event variability in the analysis of spatially distributed systems.
- 5.
Previous attempts to drastically reduce the number of scenarios to represent the regional seismicity, e.g. Shiraki et~al. (2007), were characterized by a more or less high degree of subjectivity.
- 6.
Kiremidjian et al. (2007) are the first to employ IS to selectively sample in the larger magnitude range.
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Franchin, P. (2014). A Computational Framework for Systemic Seismic Risk Analysis of Civil Infrastructural Systems. In: Pitilakis, K., Franchin, P., Khazai, B., Wenzel, H. (eds) SYNER-G: Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Complex Urban, Utility, Lifeline Systems and Critical Facilities. Geotechnical, Geological and Earthquake Engineering, vol 31. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8835-9_2
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