Analysis of Climate Variability

1. Front Matter

   Pages I-XVII

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2. Introduction

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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   2. The Development of Climate Research

      • Antonio Navarra

      Pages 3-10

   3. Misuses of Statistical Analysis in Climate Research

      • Hans von Storch

      Pages 11-26

3. Analyzing The Observed Climate

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 27-27

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   2. Climate Spectra and Stochastic Climate Models

      • Claude Frankignoul

      Pages 29-51

   3. The Instrumental Data Record: Its Accuracy and Use in Attempts to Identify the “CO2 Signal”

      • Phil Jones

      Pages 53-75

   4. Interpreting High-Resolution Proxy Climate Data — The Example of Dendroclimatology

      • Keith R. Briffa

      Pages 77-94

   5. Analysing the Boreal Summer Relationship Between Worldwide Sea-Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Variability

      • M. Neil Ward

      Pages 95-117

4. Simulating and Predicting Climate

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 119-119

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   2. The Simulation of Weather Types in GCMs: A Regional Approach to Control-Run Validation

      • Keith R. Briffa

      Pages 121-138

   3. Statistical Analysis of GCM Output

      • Claude Frankignoul

      Pages 139-158

   4. Field Intercomparison

      • Robert E. Livezey

      Pages 159-176

   5. The Evaluation of Forecasts

      • Robert E. Livezey

      Pages 177-196

   6. Stochastic Modeling of Precipitation with Applications to Climate Model Downscaling

      • Dennis Lettenmaier

      Pages 197-212

5. Pattern Analy

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 213-213

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   2. Teleconnections Patterns

      • Antonio Navarra

      Pages 215-225

   3. Spatial Patterns: EOFs and CCA

      • Hans von Storch

      Pages 227-257

   4. Patterns in Time: SSA and MSSA

      • Robert Vautard

      Pages 259-279

   5. Multivariate Statistical Modeling: POP-Model as a First Order Approximation

      • Jin-Song von Storch

      Pages 281-297

EUROPEAN SCHOOl OF CLiMATOlOGY AND NATURAL HAZARDS The training of scientific and technical personnel and the development of highly qualified scientists are, and have always been, among the important concerns of the European Commission. Advanced training is an important requirement for the implementation of a common EU policy in science and technology. The European School of Climatology and Natural Hazards was started as apart of the training and education activities of the European Programme on Climatology and Natural Hazards (EPOCH), and is continued under the subsequent research programme (ENVIRONMENT 1990-1994). The school consists of annual courses on specialised subjects within re­ search in climatology and natural hazards, and is open to graduating, grad­ uate and post graduate students in these fields. Each of the courses is organized in cooperation with a European Institu­ tion involved in the current research programme, and is aimed at giving to the students formal lectures and participation in informal discussions with leading researchers. The present volume is based on the lectures given at the course held on the island of Elba from the 30th October to the 6th of November 1993 on Statistical Analysis of Climate Variability. It features selected and extended presentations, and represents an important contribution to advanced studies in climate statistical analysis, supplementing more traditional texts. I trust that all those involved in research related to climate change and climate variability will appreciate this work and will benefit from the com­ prehensive and state-of-the-art information it provides.

• Klimatologie
• Scale
• climate
• climate variability
• climatology
• statistical analysis
• statistische Analyse

• Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

  Hans Storch

• Istituto per lo Studio delle Metodologie Geofisiche Ambientali, Modena, Italy

  Antonio Navarra

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