Abstract
In this chapter, we discuss dynamic models for discrete-valued data and quote processes. As illustrated in Chap. 4, the time series of the number of events in a given time interval yields a counting process and provides an alternative way to characterize the underlying point process. Section 13.1 presents a class of univariate autoregressive models for count data based on dynamic parameterizations of the conditional mean function in a Poisson distribution. Moreover, we discuss extensions thereof, such as the Negative Binomial distribution and Double Poisson distribution.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Ball C (1988) Estimation bias induced by discrete security prices. J Finance 43:841–865
Bien K, Nolte I, Pohlmeier W (2011) An inflated multivariate integer count hurdle model: an application to bid and ask quote dynamics. J Appl Econom 26:669–707
Bollerslev T, Melvin M (1994) Bid-ask spreads and volatility in the foreign exchange market. J Int Econ 36:355–372
Brumback BA, Ryan LM, Schwartz JD, Neas LM, Stark PC, Burge HA (2000) Transitional regression models with application to environmental time series. J Am Stat Assoc 85:16–27
Cameron AC, Trivedi PK (1998) Regression analysis of count data. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Davis RA, Dunsmuir WTM, Streett SB (2003) Observation-driven models for Poisson counts. Biometrika 90:777–790
Denuit M, Lambert P (2005) Constraints on concordance measures in bivariate discrete data. J Multivar Anal 93:40–57
Dufour A, Engle RF (2000) The ACD model: predictability of the time between consecutive trades. Working Paper, ISMA Centre, University of Reading
Efron B (1986) Double exponential families and their use in generalized linear regression. J Am Stat Assoc 81:709–721
Engle RF, Patton A (2004) Impact of trades in an error-correction model of quote prices. J Financ Markets 7:1–25
Escribano A, Pascual R (2006) Asymmetries in bid and ask responses to innovations in the trading process. Empir Econ 30(4):913–946
Ferland R, Latour A, Oraichi D (2006) Integer-valued GARCH processes. J Time Series Anal 27:923–942
Fokianos K, Rahbek A, Tjostheim D (2009) Poisson autoregression. J Am Stat Assoc 104: 1430–1439
Glosten LR, Harris LE (1988) Estimating the components of the bid/ask spread. J Finan Econ 21:123–142
Gottlieb G, Kalay A (1985) Implications of the discreteness of observed stock prices. J Finance 40:135–154
Groß-Klußmann A, Hautsch N (2011a) Predicting bid-ask spreads using long memory autoregressive conditional poisson models. Working Paper, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Groß-Klußmann A, Hautsch N (2011b) When machines read the news: using automated text analytics to quantify high frequency news-implied market reactions. J Empir Financ 18:321–340
Haggan V, Ozaki T (1981) Modelling nonlinear random vibrations using an amplitude-dependent autoregressive time series model. Biometrika 68:189–196
Harris L (1990) Estimation of stock variances and serial covariances from discrete observations. J Financ QuantAnal 25:291–306
Hasbrouck J (1991) Measuring the information content of stock trades. J Finance 46:179–207
Hasbrouck J (1993) Assessing the quality of a security market: a new approach to transaction costs measurement. Rev Finan Stud 6(1):191–212
Hasbrouck J (1996) The dynamics of discrete bid and ask quotes. J Finance 6:2109–2142
Hasbrouck J (2007) Empirical market microstructure. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Hausman JA, Lo AW, MacKinlay AC (1992) An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices. J Finan Econ 31:319–379
Hautsch N, Hess D, Veredas D (2011) The impact of macroeconomic news on quote adjustments, noise, and informational volatility. J Bank Finance 35:2733–2746
Hautsch N, Huang R (2009) The market impact of a limit order. Discussion Paper 2009/23, Collaborative Research Center 649 “Economic Risk”, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Heinen A (2003) Modeling time series count data: an autoregressive conditional Poisson model. Discussion paper, Université Catholique de Louvain
Heinen A, Rengifo E (2007) Multivariate autoregressive modelling of time series count data using copulas. Empir Financ 14:564–583
Johansen S (1991) Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica 59:1551–1580
Jung RC, Kukuk M, Liesenfeld R (2006) Time series of count data: modeling, estimation and diagnostics. Comput Stat Data Anal 51:2350–2364
Jung RC, Tremayne AR (2011) Useful models for time series of counts or simply wrong ones? Adv Stat Anal 95:59–91
Koulikov D (2003) Modeling sequences of long memory non-negative covariance stationary random variables. Discussion Paper 156, CAF
Liesenfeld R, Nolte I, Pohlmeier W (2006) Modelling financial transaction price movements: a dynamic integer count model. Empir Econ 30:795–825
Lo I, Sapp S (2006) A structural error-correction model of best prices and depths in the foreign exchange limit order market. Working paper, Bank of Canada
Madhavan A, Richardson M, Roomans M (1997) Why do security prices changes? a transaction-level analysis of NYSE stocks. Rev Financ Stud 10(4):1035–1064
Mullahy Y (1986) Specification and testing of some modified count data models. J Econom 33:341–365
Nelson D (1991) Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: a new approach. J Econom 43:227–251
Pascual R, Veredas D (2010) Does the open limit order book matter in explaining long run volatility? J Financ Econom 8(1):57–87
Russell JR, Engle RF (2005) A discrete-state continuous-time model of financial transactions prices and times: the autoregressive conditional multinomial-autoregressive conditional duration model. J Bus Econ Stat 23:166–180
Rydberg TH, Shephard N (1998) Bin models for trade-by-trade data: modelling the number of trades in a fixed interval of time. Working Paper, Nuffield College, Oxford
Rydberg TH, Shephard N (2003) Dynamics of trade-by-trade price movements: decomposition and models. J Financ Econom 1:2–25
Sklar A (1959) Fonctions de répartitions à n dimensions et leurs marges. Public Institute of Statistics of the University of Paris 8:229–231
Streett S (2000) Some observation driven models for time series of counts. Ph.D. thesis, Colorado State University
Zeger SL, Qaquish B (1988) Markov regression models for time series: a quasi-likelihood approach. Biometrics 44:1019–1031
Zhang MY, Russell JR, Tsay RS (2008) Determinants of bid and ask quotes and implications for the cost of trading. J Empir Financ 15(4):656–678
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Hautsch, N. (2012). Autoregressive Discrete Processes and Quote Dynamics. In: Econometrics of Financial High-Frequency Data. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21925-2_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21925-2_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-21924-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-21925-2
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)