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Use of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Kidney Transplant Outcomes

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Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems (KES 2004)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 3215))

Abstract

Traditionally researchers have used statistical methods to predict medical outcomes. However, statistical techniques do not provide sufficient in-formation for solving problems of high complexity. Recently more attention has turned to a variety of artificial intelligence modeling techniques such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Case Based Reasoning (CBR) and Rule Induction (RI). In this study we sought to use ANN to predict renal transplantation outcomes. Our results showed that although this was possible, the positive predictive power of the trained ANN was low, indicating a need for improvement if this approach is to be useful clinically. We also highlight potential problems that may arise when using incomplete clinical datasets for ANN train-ing including the danger of pre-processing data in such a way that misleading high predictive value is obtained.

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© 2004 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Shadabi, F., Cox, R., Sharma, D., Petrovsky, N. (2004). Use of Artificial Neural Networks in the Prediction of Kidney Transplant Outcomes. In: Negoita, M.G., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds) Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems. KES 2004. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3215. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30134-9_76

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30134-9_76

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-23205-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-30134-9

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