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Predictive Recommining: Learning Relations Between Event Log Characteristics and Machine Learning Approaches for Supporting Predictive Process Monitoring

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Intelligent Information Systems (CAiSE 2023)

Abstract

A variety of predictive process monitoring techniques based on machine learning (ML) have been proposed to improve the performance of operational processes. Existing techniques suggest different ML algorithms for training predictive models and are often optimized based on a small set of event logs. Consequently, practitioners face the challenge of finding an appropriate ML algorithm for a given event log. To overcome this challenge, this paper proposes Predictive Recommining, a framework for suggesting an ML algorithm and a sequence encoding technique for creating process predictions based on a new event log’s characteristics (e.g., loops, number of traces, number of joins/splits). We show that our instantiated framework can create correct recommendations for the next activity prediction task.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    In our case, we use a support vector classifier (SVC).

  2. 2.

    For this task, any explainable ML approach can be used.

  3. 3.

    https://gitlab.uni-koblenz.de/process-science/research/predictive-recommining/recomminer/-/tree/CAiSE.

  4. 4.

    We set the size of the windows to 3 as recommended by [12].

  5. 5.

    For detailed information about the hyper-parameter range, visit https://gitlab.uni-koblenz.de/process-science/research/predictive-recommining/recomminer.

  6. 6.

    For better readability, we only included in the plot the first 40 event logs. The plot that includes all 60 event logs can be found in the online repository.

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Acknowledgments

Funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) - Research Grant No. 432399058 and No. 445156547

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Correspondence to Christoph Drodt .

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Drodt, C., Weinzierl, S., Matzner, M., Delfmann, P. (2023). Predictive Recommining: Learning Relations Between Event Log Characteristics and Machine Learning Approaches for Supporting Predictive Process Monitoring. In: Cabanillas, C., Pérez, F. (eds) Intelligent Information Systems. CAiSE 2023. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 477. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34674-3_9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34674-3_9

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