Abstract
There are many indigenous and traditional knowledge systems that have been in practice for centuries among local communities of arid regions of India. Local communities use their traditional knowledge to predict drought and take agricultural decisions. Through evidence-based fieldwork and focus group discussions with the local communities in the villages on western Rajasthan and arid districts of Gujarat, this study tries to document all the indigenous practices and traditional knowledges that claim to predict drought and mitigate drought. The study shows that local communities can predict drought at a large extent that can be validated through meteorological and other scientific data. We argue there is no “one-size-fits-all-solution” because solutions take many shapes and forms, depending on the unique context of a community, specific challenges, and its location. While climate mitigation policies to reduce climate change are taken at the global scale and can be top-down, the climate adaptation policies need to be local and bottom up. Risk reduction and adaptation strategies need to be user-friendly in its application where local knowledge and scenarios are meaningful at the community level to help communities to manage their vulnerabilities while equipping themselves with the necessary measures to curb their future risks. If local people are made aware of and comprehend their exposure to risk and potential impacts, they can take the initiative to make decisions based on existing trade-offs. Thus, strengthening interactions among local communities, scientists and policymakers should be a key commitment to fosters effective and timely policy decision.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abid M, Scheffran J, Schneider UA, Ashfaq M (2015) Farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan. Earth Syst. Dyn. 6:225
Acharya S (2011) Prediction of Rainfall variation through flowering phenology of night-flowering jasmine Nyctanthes arbor-tristis L. Verbenaceae in Tripura. Ind J Traditional Knowl 10(1):96–101
Ajai Arya AS, Dhinwa PS, Pathan SK, Raj KG (2009) Desertification/land degradation status mapping of India. Curr Sci 97:1478 1483
Alam GM, Alam K, Mushtaq S (2017) Climate change perceptions and local adaptation strategies of hazard-prone rural households in Bangladesh. Clim Risk Manag 17:52–63
Ashraf M, Routray JK (2013) Perception and understanding of drought and coping strategies of farming households in north-west Balochistan. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 2013(5):49–60
Ayanlade A, Radeny M, Morton JF (2017) Comparing smallholder farmers’ perception of climate change with meteorological data: A case study from southwestern Nigeria. Weather Clim Extremes 15:24–33
Bwambale B, Muhumuza M, Kahigwa TT, Baluku SMB, Kasozi H, Nyeko M, Kervyn M (2021) Foundations of indigenous knowledge on disasters from natural hazards: lessons from the outlook on floods among the Bayira of the Rwenzori Region, vol 12529. Disasters. https://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12529
Bandyopadhyay N (2017) Monitoring vegetative drought dynamics with drought indices in Gujarat. Ann Natl Assoc Geogr India June(1):48–64
Banerjee RR (2014) Farmers’ perception of climate change, impact and adaptation strategies: a case study of four villages in the semi-arid regions of India. Nat Hazards 75(3):2829–2845
Bennett NJ (2016) Using perceptions as evidence to improve conservation and environmental management. Conserv Biol 30:582–592. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12681
Berkes F (2009) Evolution of co-management: role of knowledge generation, bridging organizations and social learning. J Environ Manag 90:1692–1702. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2008.12.001
Berkes F, Jolly D (2001) Adapting to climate change: social-ecological resilience in a Canadian western Arctic community. Conserv Ecol 5(2):18
Berkes F, Ross H (2013) Community resilience: toward an integrated approach. Soc Nat Resour 26:5–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2012.736605
Brodt SB (2001) A systems perspective on the conservation and erosion of indigenous agricultural knowledge in central India. Hum Ecol 29(1):99–120
Carolan MS (2006) Sustainable agriculture, science and the co-production of “expert” knowledge: the value of interactional expertise. Local Environ 11:421–431. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549830600785571
Chang TJ, Teoh CB (1995) Use of the Kriging method for studying characteristics of ground water droughts 1. J Am Water Resour Assoc 31(6):1001–1007
Chang’a LB, Yanda PZ, Ngana J, (2010) Indigenous knowledge in seasonal rainfall prediction in Tanzania: a case of the South-western Highland of Tanzania. J Geogr Regional Plan 3(4):66–72
Chapagain BK, Subedi R, Paudel NS (2009) Exploring local knowledge of climate change: some reflections. J Livel 8(1):108–112. https://doi.org/10.12691/env21-1
Chen D, Whalen JK (2016) Climate change in the North China Plain: smallholder farmer perceptions and adaptations in Quzhou County, Hebei Province. Clim Res 69(3):261–273
Cruikshank J (2005) Do glaciers listen? University of British Columbia Press, Vancouver
Cuaton G, Su Y (2020) Local-indigenous knowledge on disaster risk reduction: insights from the mamanwa indigenous peoples in basey, samar after typhoon haiyan in the Philippines. Int J Disaster Risk Reduc 48(2020):101596. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101596
Cutter SL et al (2008) A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters. Glob Environ Change 18(4):598–606. Available at http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959378008000666. Accessed 21 June 2016
Dagel KC (1997) Defining drought in marginal areas: the role of perception. Prof Geogr 49(2):192–202
Datta P, Behera B (2022) Climate change and Indian agriculture: a systematic review of farmers’ perception, adaptation, and transformation. Environ Challenges 100543
de Flavier JMA, Jesus A, Navrro CS (1995) The regional program for the promotion of indigenous knowledge in Asia. In: Warren DM, Slikkerverr LJ, Brokensha D (eds) The cultural dimension of development: indigenous knowledge systems. Intermediate Technology Publications, London, pp 479–487
Egeru A (2012) Role of indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation: a case study of Teso Sub-Region in eastern Uganda. Ind J Traditional Knowl 11(2):217–224
FAO (2016) The state of food and agriculture 2016—Climate change, agriculture and food security. FAO, Rome. ISBN 978-92–5-107671-2 I
FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP, WHO (2018. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World: Building Climate Resilience for Food Security and Nutrition. Rome.
Fara K (2001) How natural are natural disasters? Vulnerability to drought of communal farmers in Southern Namibia Risk Management 3(3):47–63.
Ferrier N, Haque CE (2003) Hazard risk assessment methodology for emergency managers: a standardized framework for application. Nat Hazards 28:271–290
Ford JD, Cameron L, Rubis J, Maillet M, Nakashima D, Willox AC, Pearce T (2016) Including indigenous knowledge and experience in IPCC assessment reports. Nat Clim Change 6:349–353
Galacgac ES, Balisacan CM (2009) Traditional weather forecasting for sustainable agroforestry practices in Ilocos Norte Province, Philippines. For Ecol Manage 257:2044–2053
Gbetibouo GA (2009) Understanding farmers’ perceptions and adaptations to climate change and variability: the case of the Limpopo Basin, South Africa, vol 849. Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Hansen JW, Marx SM, Weber EU (2004) The role of climate perceptions, expectations, and forecasts in farmer decision making: the Argentine Pampas and South Florida: Final report of an IRI seed grant project
Heathcote RL (1969) Drought in Australia: a problem of perception. Geogr Rev 59:175–194
Hiwasaki L, Luna E, Shaw R (2014) Process for integrating local and indigenous knowledge with science for hydro-meteorological disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in coastal and small Island communities. Int J Disaster Risk Reduc 10:15–27
IDNDR (1994) Yokohama strategy and plan of action for a safer world, p 20
IWFM (2012) Spatial and temporal distribution of temperature, rainfall, sunshine and humidity in context of crop agriculture. Institute of Water and Flood Management, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka
Kadi M, Njau LN, Mwikya J, Kamga A (2011) The state of climate information services in East African countries. CCAFS working paper 5. CCAFS, Copenhagen. www.ccafs.cgiar.org
Kawadia G, Tiwari E (2017) Farmers’ perception of climate change in Madhya Pradesh. Area Dev Policy 2(2):192–207
Kihupi NI, Kingamkono R, Rwamugira W, Kingamkono M, Mhita M, Brien KO (2002) Promotion and integration of indigenous knowledge in seasonal climate forecasts. Consultancy report submitted to Drought Monitoring Center, Harare, Zimbabwe. Accessed 10 Nov 2013
Li S, Juhász-Horváth L, Harrison PA, Pintér L, Rounsevell MD (2017) Relating farmer’s perceptions of climate change risk to adaptation behaviour in Hungary. J Environ Manage 185:21–30
Lowe I (2002) The need for environment literacy. ALNARC Online Forum, ANTA National Literacy Project, Australian Government Department of Education, Science and Training (DEST), Queensland
Lucio F (1999) Use of contemporary and indigenous forecast information for farm level decision making in Mozambique. Consultancy report. UNDP/UNSO, p 72
Luseno WK, McPeak JG, Barrett CB, Little PD, Gebru G (2003) Assessing the value of climate forecast information for pastoralists: evidence from southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya. World Dev 31(9):1477–1494
MacCarthy DS, Sommer R, Vlek, PLG (2009) Modeling the impacts of contrasting nutrient and residue management practices on grain yield of sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) in a semi-arid region of Ghana using APSIM
Mall RK, Gupta A, Singh RS, Rathore LS (2006) Water resources and climate change: an Indian perspective. Curr Sci 90:1610–1626
Mercer JI, Kelman L, Taranis S (2010) Suchet-Pearson, Framework for integrating indigenous and scientific knowledge for disaster risk reduction. Disasters 34(1):214–239. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7717.2009.01126.x
Mertz O, Mbow C, Reenberg A, Diouf A (2009) Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and agricultural adaptation strategies in rural Sahel. Environ Manage 3:804–816
Mhita M (2006) Training manual traditional knowledge for nature and environmental conservation, agriculture, Food security and disaster management in Tanzania. http://www.unep.org/IK/PDF/Tanzania%20ik%20training%20manual.pdf
Mishra AK, Singh VP (2011) Drought modeling–A review. J Hydrol 403(1–2):157–175
Morton LW, Mcguire JM, Cast AD (2017) A good farmer pays attention to the weather. Clim Risk Manag 15:18–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2016.09.002
Mowbray D (2012) Derek Mowbray’s guide to personal resilience. MAS Publishing, London, UK
Mulenga BP, Wineman A, Sitko NJ (2016) Climate trends and farmers’ perceptions of climate change in Zambia. Environ Manage 59(2):291–306
Ngugi R (1999) Use of Indigenous and contemporary knowledge on climate and drought forecasting information in Mwinyi district, Kenya. Consultancy report. UNDP/UNSO, p 28
Ochieng J, Kirimi L, Makau J (2016) Adapting to climate variability and change in rural Kenya: farmer perceptions, strategies and climate trends. In: Natural resources forum
Panda A (2016) Exploring climate change perceptions, rainfall trends and perceived barriers to adaptation in a drought affected region in India. Nat Hazards 84(2):777–796
Roncoli C, Ingram K, Kirshen P (2002) Reading the Rains: local Knowledge and rainfall forecasting in Burkina Faso. Soc Nat Resour 15:409–427
Roncoli C (2006) Ethnographic and participatory approaches to research on farmers’ responses to climate predictions. Clim Res 33(1):81–99
Roy AK, Hirway I (2007) Multiple impacts of droughts and assessment of drought policy in major drought prone states in India
Saarinen T (1966) Perception of the drought hazard on the Great Plains. Geography research paper 106, University of Chicago, Chicago
Schmuck H (2000) An act of Allah: religious explanations for floods in Bangladesh as survival strategy. Int J Mass Emerg Disasters 18(1):85–95
Shumba O (1999) Coping with drought: status of integrating contemporary and Indigenous climate/drought forecasting in communal areas of Zimbabwe. Consultancy report. UNDP/UNSO, p 72
Sin Y (2017) Integrating local knowledge into disaster risk reduction: current challenges and recommendations for future frameworks in the Asia-Pacific. Available at: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/e8e9/70ad720d656cc8ef0eda31a77ce05e0c681f.pdf
Singh VS, Pandey DN, Gupta AK, Ravindranath NH (2010a) Climate change impacts, mitigation and adaptation: science for generating policy options in Rajasthan, India, p 163
Singh A, Mishra S, Ruskauff G (2010b) Model averaging techniques for quantifying conceptual model uncertainty. Groundwater 48(5):701–715
Singh S (2020) Farmers’ perception of climate change and adaptation decisions: a micro-level evidence from Bundelkhand Region, India. Ecol Indicat 116:106475
Slegers MFW (2008) “If only it would rain”: farmers’ perceptions of rainfall and drought in semi-arid central Tanzania. J Arid Environ 72:2106–2123
Sumane S, Kunda I, Knickel K, Strauss A, Tisenkopfs T, Des I, Rios I, Rivera M, Chebach T, Ashkenazy A (2017) Local and farmers’ knowledge matters! How integrating informal and formal knowledge enhances sustainable and resilient agriculture. J Rural Stud 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2017.01.020
TAF (2012) Climate change perception survey report. Dhaka, Bangladesh
Taylor JG, Stewart TR, Downton M (1988) Perceptions of drought in the Ogallala Aquifer region. Environ Behav 20(2):150–175
UNESCO (2018) Local and indigenous knowledge systems (LINKS). UNESCO, 24 Feb 2018. https://en.unesco.org/links
UNISDR (2015) Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015–2030, p 37
Vora A, Parikh D (1996) Water management to combat drought. J Sardar Patel Inst Econ Soc Res Ahmedabad 26(2):33
Watts MJ, Bohle HG (1993) The space of vulnerability: the causal structure of hunger and famine. Prog Human Geog 17(1):43–67
Weber EU (2010) What shapes perceptions of climate change? Wiley Interdicip Rev Clim Change 1(3):332–342
Zampaligré N, Dossa LH, Schlecht E (2014) Climate change and variability: perception and adaptation strategies of pastoralists and agro-pastoralists across different zones of Burkina Faso. Reg Environ Change 14:769–783
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Sarkar, A., Bandyopadhyay, N. (2023). Climate Risk Management with Indigenous Knowledge and Perception—Evidence from Drought Prone Regions of India. In: Panda, G.K., Chatterjee, U., Bandyopadhyay, N., Setiawati, M.D., Banerjee, D. (eds) Indigenous Knowledge and Disaster Risk Reduction. Disaster Risk Reduction. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26143-5_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26143-5_14
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-26142-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-26143-5
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)