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The Fluffy Metaphors of Climate Science

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Metaphors and Analogies in Sciences and Humanities

Part of the book series: Synthese Library ((SYLI,volume 453))

Abstract

Metaphors of climate change, as many other scientific metaphors, are often inaccurate, if not in their intended content but in their form and emotional valence. A literal “greenhouse” is an eloquent construction designed to preserve heat, “warmth” is overall a positive notion overall (as opposed to “overheating”). First, we are going to overview how metaphors are comprehended, from their neural processing to their use in communication. Next, we are going to explore how metaphors in science deliver messages and how they spread, focusing on two powerful proposals: an identical replication theory (memetics), and a model ofconstant reformulation through viral spreading (epidemiology). The form-content distinction is particularly relevant to how scientific metaphors frame debates via their spreading: it is the form that is transmitted, but which are the analogous parts of the content that should be carried over? We then turn to the challenges of climate communication: the reasons for climate metaphors not fulfilling their purpose (e.g., due to the implications of their literal reading); the hostile environment the fossil fuel industry has created for climate scientists (e.g., disinformation and defamation campaigns); the strategies climate scientist could adapt as a community to inform the public and decision makers of the greatest dangers (e.g., by finding a unitary voice as a group with privileged access to specialized knowledge). Next, we are going to address the worst-case scenarios of climate destruction, with constantly increasing probability, and present ideas on how metaphors and expressions could be improved to transmit a message appalling enough to prompt action. We conclude by an overview of the cognitive limitations of human reasoning of inferential communication to provide scientists and communicators with tools of persuasive argumentation. Scientists and science journalists should choose their metaphors particularly carefully regarding climate change, as minor misconceptions are leading mankind towards the collapse of technological civilization.

We would like to thank the insightful suggestions of Ferenc Jordán on a previous version of this paper. This work was funded by an NKFIH Young Researcher grant (125417) to Bálint Forgács.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Following notation common in cognitive science, small capitals indicate concepts,while “quotes” mark words and expressions that are mentioned instead of used(the word “ship” expresses the concept ship).

  2. 2.

    Because the issue of climate communication stretches into the public domain and where investigative journalism plays a critical role, we rely on public media outlets occasionally.

  3. 3.

    A comprehensive track record of the lobbying efforts of fossil fuel companies at the US Capitol can be found at https://influencemap.org/report/Climate-Lobbying-by-the-Fossil-Fuel-Sector

  4. 4.

    For example, the so-called ‘climategate’: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/feb/27/climatologist-michael-e-mann-doomism-climate-crisis-interview

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© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

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Forgács, B., Pléh, C. (2022). The Fluffy Metaphors of Climate Science. In: Wuppuluri, S., Grayling, A.C. (eds) Metaphors and Analogies in Sciences and Humanities. Synthese Library, vol 453. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-90688-7_22

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